The Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action from Acrisure Stadium. Here’s a Steelers vs Bengals prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Steelers vs Bengals pick.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
This year the Bengals opened things up with a couple of wins over the Cleveland Browns and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Cincinnati hit the skids after that, falling versus the Minnesota Vikings, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers in succession. The Bengals would then beat the Steelers and lose to the lowly New York Jets. In that defeat 39-38, Cincinnati gave up 502 yards, 254 rush yards, 7.2 yards per play, 25 first downs and a 7-of-15 success rate on third downs. The offense managed 398 yards on the other side with 6.9 yards per play and 24 first downs in the losing effort at home.
In their latest matchup versus the Chicago Bears back on November 2, the Bengals took another high-scoring loss. After scoring points in all four quarters—and giving up points in all four quarters as well—Cincinnati had a 47-42 defeat at home. QB Joe Flacco logged 470 yards with four scores and two picks, and Chase Brown led the rush with 37 yards on 11 totes. Tops in receiving was Tee Higgins with seven grabs for 121 yards and two touchdowns of his own.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
Over on the Steelers’ side, they kicked off the season on a 4-1 run, falling to the Seahawks in game two while otherwise beating the New York Jets, New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings and Cleveland Browns during that time. Following the loss to the Bengals, Pittsburgh fell to the Packers before a 27-20 win over the Colts. In that victory the Steelers offense managed a tepid 225 yards, 3.7 yards per play, 17 first downs and 4-of-12 on third-down tries. The defense had a whopping six takeaways on the other side however, while giving up 368 yards total in the win.
Matched up against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, the Steelers had another loss. Following a weird baseball score of 3-2 in the first quarter, Pittsburgh didn’t score again until the final frame—and gave up points in every quarter—during a 25-10 loss. Aaron Rodgers threw for 161 yards, one TD and two picks on 16-of-31 passing, while Jaylen Warren added 70 rush yards on 14 carries. DK Metcalf had 35 yards on three catches in the losing effort as well.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 11
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Bengals have lost each of their last nine Sunday games as underdogs.
- The Steelers have won eight of their last nine November home games against AFC opponents.
- The Steelers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against AFC North opponents.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last six Sunday games at Acrisure Stadium.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The home team has won the first quarter in five of the Steelers’ last six Week 11 games.
Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win
- The Bengals have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Steelers.
- The Steelers have lost each of their last two games as home favorites following a loss.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last six road games following a home loss.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Steelers have lost the first quarter in six of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Bengals have won the first half in each of their last four games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four road games against AFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Steelers’ last six home games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Bengals’ last five November road games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 235+ passing yards in 15 of his last 16 appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 16+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last four Sunday games as favorites.
- Jonnu Smith has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances against division opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 appearances against division opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 appearances against division opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four appearances against the Bengals.
- Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Tanner Hudson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last nine November appearances.
- Chase Brown has recorded 71+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals’ last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 277+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances against the Steelers.
- Chase Brown has recorded 70+ rushing yards in three of his last four appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Ja’Marr Chase has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Bengals’ last eight games against AFC North opponents.
- Joe Flacco has recorded 23+ completions in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Heading into Week 11, Ryan Rehkow ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (52.8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
- Bengals – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
- Bengals – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 11.
Steelers vs Bengals Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Steelers. That said, games between these two teams are usually competitive so we can throw away the record books and any preconceived notions of what will happen. That said, Pittsburgh also has to recover from their cross-country road loss last weekend. The Steelers offense was pretty miserable, gaining just 221 total yards with 4.4 yards per play, 11 first downs, three turnovers and 2-of-11 on third-down tries. The defense gave up 314 yards on the other side with 4.6 yards per play and 18 first downs—it wasn’t a terrible effort by that unit. The 10 points scored were a season-low for Pittsburgh; they’d been putting up points at a nice clip all season prior to that.
As for the Bengals, they coughed up 576 yards, 283 rush yards, 7.6 yards per play and 30 first downs to the Bears in their latest loss—not to mention three turnovers on offense. Cincinnati added 449 passing yards and 26 first downs though, which should have been enough to win. I’m leaning slightly toward Pittsburgh in this weekend’s rematch but I could go either way. It’s sure to be an entertaining game regardless of how the final score shakes out.