In this article we will formulate a Rams vs Texans prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 7th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 1 matchup.
Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Rams went 10-7 last season and they finished first in the NFC West standings, as they won the tiebreak with Seattle. Los Angeles started the season by losing four of their first five games, but they locked in and won nine of the next eleven, before losing in the finale. The Rams picked up wins against the 49ers (2), Raiders, Vikings, Seahawks, Patriots, Saints, Bills, Jets, and Cardinals, while they lost against the Lions, Cardinals, Bears, Packers, Dolphins, Eagles, and Seahawks. Los Angeles hosted a first round playoff game, where they defeated Minnesota by a score of 27-9, but they lost on the road against Philadelphia by a score of 28-22 in the second round. The Rams scored 21.6 points per game in 2024, which was ranked 20th in the NFL, while they allowed 22.7 points against per game, which was ranked 17th.
During the preseason, Los Angeles won the first two games against the Cowboys and Chargers by scores of 31-21 and 23-22, but they lost the finale by a score of 19-17 against the Browns. The Rams are expected to have Stafford under center for this game, but he is dealing with an injury, so it is possible we see Garoppolo or Bennett. Los Angeles will have Kyren Willams has their lead back, while Blake Corum is listed second. The Rams lost Kupp from last year, but they will have Nacua and Adams on the outside, while Higbee is the tight end.
Houston Texans Betting Preview
The Houston Texans were 10-7 last year and they also finished first in their division, as they beat out the Colts by two games in the AFC South. Houston won five of their first six games to start the season very well, but they lost four of the next six and only went 5-6 over their last 11. The Texans got wins against the Colts, Bears, Jaguars (2), Bills, Patriots, Colts, Cowboys, Dolphins, and Titans, while they lost to the Vikings, Packers, Jets, Lions, Titans, Chiefs, and Ravens. Houston also made the postseason, where they defeated the Chargers by a score of 32-12 in their first game, but lost to the Chiefs by a score of 23-14 in the second round. Houston scored 21.9 points per game last year, which was ranked 19th in the NFL, while they allowed 21.9 points against per game, which was ranked 14th.
In the preseason, Houston lost their first game against Minnesota by a score of 20-10, but they did win their last two against Carolina and Detroit by scores of 20-3 and 26-7. Houston has CJ Stroud back at quarterback, who had a very inconsistent 2024, so he has plenty to improve upon. The Texans will start Nick Chubb at running back, while Nico Collins, Christian Kirk, and Dalton Schultz are expected to lead the passing game.
Why the Texans will beat the Rams
- The road team has won four of the five previous games between the Texans and Rams.
- The Rams have lost three of their last four September games against AFC opponents.
- The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday games as road underdogs.
- The Rams have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four September games against AFC opponents.
- The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five Sunday games.
- The Rams have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Texans have won the first half in each of their last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six Sunday games at SoFi Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Rams’ last four games played as favorites on the West Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Texans’ last five road games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts
- Kyren Williams has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four Sunday appearances with the Rams as home favorites.
- Kyren Williams has scored the first touchdown in each of his last four home appearances.
- Davante Adams has recorded 72+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 240+ passing yards in each of his 14 previous September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Kyren Williams has recorded 76+ rushing yards in 10 of his last 11 Sunday appearances with the Rams as favorites.
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 24+ completions in eight of his last nine Week 1 appearances.
- Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight Sunday home appearances.
- Puka Nacua has recorded 98+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season home appearances.
- Kamren Kinchens recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game last season (2 vs Seahawks, Week 9).
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Texans’ last four regular season road games.
- Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven Sunday road appearances.
- Joe Mixon has recorded 18+ receiving yards in five of the Texans’ last six Sunday games.
- Joe Mixon has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday road appearances.
- Joe Mixon has recorded 65+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine Sunday road appearances.
- Joe Mixon recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game last season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 11).
Matchup/League Facts
- Rams – six different players recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Rams – five different players recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Texans – two different players recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- The Texans ranked T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (76.5) last season.
David Racey was 18-10 (64%) in the NFL Preseason this year. Click here for his premium plays for this week!
Rams vs Texans Prediction
Both of these teams made the postseason in 2024, but starting the season with a win in this game would go a long way in getting back there. The Rams have some injury questions surrounding Stafford, which is never a good thing, so I question how ready he will be for this game. Houston needs to get off to a fast start, as the offense sputtered down the stretch last year and Stroud lost confidence. I don’t love the Stafford situation and I need to see how he plays before backing them, so give me Houston on the road.