Ravens vs Chargers Prediction
I’m not thrilled with this spot. On one hand, I want nothing to do with the Ravens, who are rolling out a backup quarterback and are already 20th in total offense and 22nd in scoring offense. The Ravens have also been shakier than usual on the defensive side and have dropped to 27th in scoring defense. I also want nothing to do with the Chargers, who are winless on the season and 0-8 ATS. The Chargers have zero value in the betting market, and I doubt taking a trip across the country will help matters. There’s likely little motivation with this disappointing team.
However, a pick needs to be made, and despite all of the issues with the Chargers, they’re better than what they’ve shown up to this point. On paper and entering the season, the Chargers were a trendy Super Bowl pick. I know it’s hard to convince people today that the Chargers are a good team, but there’s talent on both sides of the ball. It’s a matter of figuring things out. Obviously it’s too late in the season, but at some point the Chargers have to put something together even if it’s just for one game. I’m not laying 4.5 points with a backup quarterback. It’s Chargers or pass for me on Monday night.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers lost to the Rams and Texans, and they play the Jets next. The Los Angeles Chargers have lost 11 straight games. The Chargers are 0-4 SU on the road, 0-4 SU at home, and 0-8 ATS on the season. Justin Herbert is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 1,591 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Herbert has been sacked 31 times this season. Tre’ Harris has 262 yards on 21 catches. Ladd McConkey has 286 yards and 1 touchdown on 17 catches. Quentin Johnston has 260 yards and 1 touchdown on 13 catches.
The Los Angeles Chargers’ ground game is averaging 114.5 yards per contest, and Omarion Hampton leads the way with 369 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 27.4 points and 343.3 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Chargers with 51 tackles. Khalil Mack has 3 sacks. Genesis Smith has 2 interceptions.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens lost to the Bills and Jaguars, and they play the Panthers next. The Baltimore Ravens have lost 4 straight games. The Ravens are 3-2 SU on the road, 1-3 SU at home, and 2-7 ATS on the season. Lamar Jackson is completing 70.1 percent of his passes for 967 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jacoby Brissett will start in place of the injured Jackson. Zay Flowers has 614 yards and 3 touchdowns on 43 catches. Rashod Bateman has 294 yards and 1 touchdown on 20 catches. Mark Andrews has 237 yards and 1 touchdown on 31 catches.
The Baltimore Ravens’ ground game is averaging 137.8 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 689 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 26.2 points and 329.7 yards per game. Roquan Smith leads the Ravens with 74 tackles. Travius Robinson has 3.5 sacks. Trenton Simpson has 1 interception.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The Chargers have lost each of their last 11 games.
- The Ravens have won 10 of their last 11 night games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Chargers’ last four games.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Chargers have lost the first quarter in each of their last six Week 10 games against AFC opponents.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last six games as favorites.
Why the Los Angeles Chargers will win
- The Chargers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Ravens have lost four of their last five games as favorites without Justice Hill.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight home games.
- The road team has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between the Chargers and Ravens.
- The Ravens have lost the first half in each of their last six games in November.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games against AFC North opponents.
- The Chargers have won the first quarter in each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last eight night games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Chargers’ last six road games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of the last four Monday night games between teams from the same conference have gone OVER the total points line.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Mark Andrews has scored two touchdowns in each of the Ravens’ last three Monday games played on the East Coast.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in four of the Ravens’ last five games as home favorites.
- Jacoby Brissett has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
- Mark Andrews has recorded 23+ receiving yards in 13 of the Ravens’ last 14 November games as home favorites.
- Jacoby Brissett has recorded 249+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances against AFC opponents.
- Justice Hill has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of the Ravens’ last five regular season games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
- Justice Hill has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last seven games against AFC West opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 13 of his last 14 home appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Heading into Week 10, Derrick Henry has recorded the most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Colts, Week 1).
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Quentin Johnston has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three regular season night road appearances.
- Quentin Johnston has scored a touchdown in five of his last six appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 20+ completions in nine of the Chargers’ last 10 November games as underdogs.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 213+ passing yards in 18 of his 19 previous appearances in regular season night games against AFC opponents.
- Kimani Vidal has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances in night games.
- Quentin Johnston has recorded 37+ receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with the Chargers as underdogs.
- Quentin Johnston has recorded 37+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six regular season appearances with the Chargers as underdogs.
- Justin Herbert has the highest interception percentage (4.7%) of any qualified QB this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 10, the Ravens are the only team to give up multiple 10+ point 2nd quarter leads to lose this season.
- Heading into Week 10, the Ravens have failed to win a single quarter in two games this season – most in the NFL.
- Chargers – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
- Heading into Week 10, the Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (15.1) this season.
