In this article, we will formulate a Ravens vs Colts Prediction for this NFL Week 1 game on Sunday, September 13th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Indianapolis Colts Preview
The Colts finished the preseason with a 0-2-1 record and were placed 3rd in the AFC South. They had a 0-2 home record and a 0-0-1 road record. They are coming off a 16-25 home defeat by the Detroit Lions, where they were outgained by their opponents 229 to 356 total yards and had 12 first downs. The Indianapolis Colts had 195 passing yards, 34 rushing yards, while winning the turnover battle by 1-4. They went 1/10 on third down conversions and 1/2 in the red zone.
Offensively in the preseason, the Colts averaged 11.7 points per game, while allowing 24 points per game defensively. Indianapolis averaged 249.3 total yards per game (165.3 passing and 84 rushing), while allowing 364 total yards per game (219.7 passing and 144.3 rushing).
Baltimore Ravens Preview
The Ravens finished the preseason with a 3-0 record and were placed 2nd in the AFC North. They had a 2-0 home record and a 1-0 road record. They are coming off a 41-3 home victory over the Washington Commanders, where they outgained their opponents 456 to 177 total yards and had 26 first downs. The Baltimore Ravens had 261 passing yards, 195 rushing yards, while the turnover battle was tied at 1-1. They went 4/12 on third down conversions and 4/5 in the red zone.
Offensively in the preseason, the Ravens averaged 26 points per game, while allowing 14.3 points per game defensively. Baltimore averaged 379.3 total yards per game (247.7 passing and 131.7 rushing), while allowing 211.7 total yards per game (139.7 passing and 72 rushing).
Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends: Week 1
Why the Indianapolis Colts will win
- The underdogs have won five of the Ravens’ last six games.
- The Ravens have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last seven September games against AFC opponents.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games without Tyler Huntley.
- The Colts have won the first quarter in each of their last four games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Colts have won the first half in each of their seven previous home games against the Ravens.
- The Colts have scored the first touchdown in 14 of their last 15 games.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The Colts have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Ravens have won seven of their last eight games without Mark Andrews.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last five road games without Mark Andrews.
- The Colts have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six season openers as underdogs.
- The Colts have won the first quarter in five of their last seven games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last eight season openers as favorites.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games as favorites against AFC South opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last six road games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Colts’ last eight season openers as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts
- Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances with the Colts as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- Daniel Jones has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last six Week 1 appearances.
- Daniel Jones has recorded 236+ passing yards in each of his last four September appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 108+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three appearances with the Colts as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- Keenan Allen has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of his last 19 September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Daniel Jones has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last four appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored a touchdown in each of his last four home appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor ranked 1st in the NFL in touchdowns (20) last season.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four September appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 19+ completions in each of the Ravens’ last three games against the Colts.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last five September appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 100+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Ravens’ last eight regular season road games against AFC opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 38+ rushing yards in each of his last nine appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC South opponents.
- Tyler Huntley has recorded 186+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances as a starter.
- Derrick Henry recorded the most rushing attempts in a single game last season (36 vs Packers, Week 17).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colts suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10 points or less last season (5).
- The Colts have scored the first touchdown in four consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the league.
- Ravens – five different players recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Ravens – five different players recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game last season – most in the NFL.
Ravens vs Colts Prediction
In this Ravens vs Colts Prediction, the Ravens are coming as -3.5 road favorites. Both teams had totally different preseasons, as the Colts were winless and the Ravens went undefeated. Colts’ offensive line looked terrible with just 11.7 ppg, that was 15.3 points fewer than the Ravens. The Colts also had a terrible -12.3 point differential, as opposed to the Ravens’ 11.7 and Baltimore has been dominating Indianapolis, as they are 6-2 in their last 8 overall meetings. The Ravens were far better on the road last season with a 5-3 record and I expect them to win and cover the -3.5 number on the road in this one.