Ravens vs Jaguars Prediction
Jacksonville comes into this game after winning four of their last five games and they are a big favorite to win, but they will be on the road here. The Jaguars have allowed 17 points or fewer in four of their last five games and they have scored 31+ points in three of those five. Baltimore has lost three games in a row and they have been outscored 71-23 in their last two. The Ravens will be using their third string quarterback and they have scored 13 points or fewer in three straight games. This is a ton of points to cover on the road, but I can’t back Baltimore with everything they are dealing with. Take Jacksonville to cover here.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 4-4 this season after they lost to the Bills by a score of 36-10 last week. Baltimore trailed 16-7 at halftime and they allowed 20 points in the second half in the ugly loss. The Ravens were out gained by a total of 426-144, went 3-13 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Joe Fagnano threw for 91 yards and one interception, while Rashod Bateman caught one pass for 22 yards. Derrick Henry rushed 11 times for 53 yards and one score in the loss.
Prior to that game, Baltimore lost to the Bengals by a score of 35-13 and the Browns by a score of 13-10. The Ravens have scored 22.4 points per game with 205.1 passing yards and 133.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.4 points against per game this season. Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley are injured, so we will see Joe Fagnano under center once again. Zay Flowers has caught 40 passes for 608 yards and three scores, while Derrick Henry has rushed 158 times for 632 yards and eight touchdowns this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 5-2 this year after they defeated the Colts by a score of 42-7 in their last game. Jacksonville led 28-0 at halftime and they cruised to the blowout win in the second half. The Jaguars out gained Indianapolis by a total of 366-243, went 6-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Trevor Lawrence threw for 210 yards and three touchdowns, while Bhayshul Tuten caught two passes for 55 yards and one score. Tuten also rushed 16 times for 104 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Jacksonville lost to the Texans by a score of 34-31, but did defeat the Eagles by a score of 19-17 before that. The Jaguars have scored 28.0 points per game with 227.4 passing yards and 122.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 15.9 points against per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,690 yards with 17 touchdowns and four interceptions, while Parker Washington has 27 receptions for 432 yards and four scores. Bhayshul Tuten has led the ground game with 110 carries for 492 yards and three touchdowns this year.
Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win
- The Jaguars have won eight of their last nine games without Travis Hunter.
- The Ravens have lost each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games.
- The Jaguars have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games without Travis Hunter.
- The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games played on the East Coast.
- The favorites have won the first half in eight of the Ravens’ last nine games.
- The Jaguars have won the first quarter in each of their last four November games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last seven night games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Jaguars’ last five Thursday games played on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven Thursday night games between AFC teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Zay Flowers has recorded 46+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances.
- Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in each of his last four appearances in home night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 84+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Ravens’ last eight night games against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 73+ rushing yards in 15 of his last 17 home appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in three of the Ravens’ last four home games.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last six night games at M&T Bank Stadium.
- Heading into Week 9, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing attempts (158) this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Parker Washington has scored a touchdown in four of the Jaguars’ last five games played on the East Coast.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 245+ passing yards in six of the Jaguars’ last seven games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
- Brian Thomas has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his 13 previous road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last three games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 20+ completions in seven of the Jaguars’ last eight night games.
- Heading into Week 9, Trevor Lawrence ranks 1st amongst qualified players for passer rating (112.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Ravens have suffered the equal-most losses when leading at HT this season (3).
- Heading into Week 9, the Ravens are the only team to give up multiple 10+ point 2nd quarter leads to lose this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (77.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Jaguars rank T1st in the NFL in turnover differential (+7) this season.
Positive Trends
When looking at the trends in this game, I am comfortable backing the Jaguars. Jacksonville tends to start fast when playing on the East Coast, which will be critical in controlling the game. Baltimore has a few trends pointing in their favor, but the third string quarterback really nullifies most of those. Take the Jaguars on the road here.