In this article, we will formulate a Saints vs Bears Prediction for this NFL Week 7 game on Sunday, October 19th at the Soldier Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Chicago Bears Preview
The Chicago Bears have a 3-2-0 record this season and are sitting third in the NFC North. They are 3-2 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and a 2-1 away record. The Bears are coming off a 25-24 road win against the Washington Commanders and will face the Saints, Ravens and the Bengals next.
Offensively, the Bears average 25.2 points per game, ranking 10th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 28.2 points per game, which is 27th. Chicago averages 338.6 total yards per game (227.8 passing and 110.8 rushing), while allowing 369.4 total yards per game (156.4 rushing and 213 passing).
Caleb Williams leads the Bears with 1179 passing yards with 61.6% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. D’Andre Swift leads the team in rushing yards with 295, while Rome Odunze has a team-high 22 receptions for 328 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tremaine Edmunds has a team-high 53 total tackles (25 of them solo), while Gervon Dexter leads the team in sacks, with 2.5, while Kevin Byard has three interceptions.
New Orleans Saints Preview
The New Orleans Saints have a 1-5-0 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC South. They are 2-4 ATS, 3-3 in Over/Under and have a 1-3 home record and a 0-2 away record. The Saints are coming off a 19-25 home loss against the New England Patriots and will face the Bears, Buccaneers and the Rams next.
Offensively, the Saints average 18.5 points per game, ranking 28th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 26.7 points per game, which is 25th. New Orleans averages 305.3 total yards per game (195.8 passing and 109.5 rushing), while allowing 327.3 total yards per game (114 rushing and 213.3 passing).
Spencer Rattler leads the Saints with 1217 passing yards with 68.5% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Alvin Kamara leads the team in rushing yards with 314, while Chris Olave has a team-high 39 receptions for 342 receiving yards, and one touchdown. Defensively, Demario Davis has a team-high 51 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Carl Granderson leads the team in sacks, with 4.5, while Kool-Aid McKinstry has two interceptions.
New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Week 7
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The favorites have won each of the Saints’ last 12 games.
- The Saints have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against NFC North opponents.
- The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Saints have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games.
- The Bears have won the first half in each of their last 10 games as home favorites following a win.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
Why the New Orleans Saints will win
- The Bears have lost each of their last 12 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Saints have won each of their last eight games against the Bears.
- The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last eight October games against NFC North opponents.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Saints have won the first half in each of their last six October games against the Bears.
- The Saints have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight Week 7 road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bears’ last four games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Saints’ last six Sunday games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of his last five October appearances.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 25+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of the Bears’ last nine games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 25+ receiving yards in eight of the Bears’ last nine games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 231+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last four Sunday home games.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 57+ rushing yards in each of his last six October appearances.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 23+ completions in three of the Bears’ last four Sunday home games.
- Heading into Week 7, Kevin Byard has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Raiders, Week 4).
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Rattler has recorded 214+ passing yards in four of the Saints’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Spencer Rattler has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Saints’ last four games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Brandin Cooks has recorded 19+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 24 previous appearances with the Saints as underdogs.
- Brandin Cooks has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of his 52 previous appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
- Taysom Hill has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of the Saints’ last four games against the Bears.
- Rashid Shaheed has scored a touchdown in four of his five previous October road appearances.
- Heading into Week 7, Kool-Aid McKinstry has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 7, the Bears rank T1st in the NFL in turnover differential (+8) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Bears have conceded the highest score in a single game this season (52-points vs Detroit).
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (10.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 7, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in H2 points per game (7.7) this season.
Saints vs Bears Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, the Saints won 24-17 at home, and have won their last 8 meetings against the Bears, including their last four visits in Chicago. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Saints vs Bears Prediction, the Bears are coming as -5.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 46.5 points. New Orleans has been terrible this season, with just one win in six games, having lost both of their road games by 12 and 31 points. On the flip side, Chicago has been red-hot lately, with three straight wins and covers, and is better both offensively and defensively than the Saints, who rank on the bottom-8 of the league in both of categories. I don’t expect a struggling New Orleans squad to be competitive on the road, as they have been losing by an average of 8.2 points this season. Take the Chicago Bears and lay the -5.5 points at home in this one.