In this article, we will formulate a Saints vs Dolphins Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, November 30th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Miami Dolphins Preview
The Miami Dolphins have a 4-7 record this season and are sitting third in the AFC East. They are 6-5 ATS, 6-4-1 in Over/Under and have a 3-3 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Dolphins are coming off a 16-13 home win against the Washington Commanders and will face the Jets and Steelers next.
Offensively, the Dolphins average 20.5 points per game, ranking 24th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.5 points per game, which is 21st. Miami averages 300.4 total yards per game (187.5 passing and 112.8 rushing), while allowing 349.8 total yards per game (142.6 rushing and 207.2 passing).
Tua Tagovailoa leads the Dolphins with 2123 passing yards with 68.3% completed passes and 17 touchdowns. De’Von Achane leads the team in rushing yards with 900, while Jaylen Waddle has a team-high 49 receptions for 722 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Jordyn Brooks has a team-high 125 total tackles (71 of them solo), while Bradley Chubb leads the team in sacks, with 5.
New Orleans Saints Preview
The New Orleans Saints have a 2-9 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC South. They are 3-8 ATS, 4-7 in Over/Under and have a 1-5 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Saints are coming off a 10-24 home loss against the Atlanta Falcons and will face the Buccaneers, Panthers and Jets next.
Offensively, the Saints average 15 points per game, ranking 31st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24.9 points per game, which is 22nd. New Orleans averages 296.8 total yards per game (205.3 passing and 91.5 rushing), while allowing 316.1 total yards per game (123.5 rushing and 192.5 passing).
Spencer Rattler leads the Saints with 1586 passing yards with 68% completed passes and eight touchdowns. Alvin Kamara leads the team in rushing yards with 471, while Chris Olave has a team-high 69 receptions for 734 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Demario Davis has a team-high 102 total tackles (48 of them solo), while Cameron Jordan and Carl Granderson lead the team in sacks, with 4.5 each.
New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins Betting Trends: Week 13
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Dolphins have won each of their last 11 November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
- The Saints have lost each of their last nine games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games before a Division game.
- The Saints have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last 11 November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
Why the New Orleans Saints will win
- The Dolphins have lost seven of their last eight games following an overtime win.
- The Saints have won three of their last four November games as underdogs.
- The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last 14 games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games before a Division game.
- The Saints have won the first quarter in five of their last seven games as underdogs in Florida.
- The Saints have won the first half in each of their last seven games in Florida.
- The Saints have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games in Florida.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Saints’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Dolphins’ last seven games as favorites in Florida have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the last eight Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- De’Von Achane has scored the first touchdown in three of the Dolphins’ last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- De’Von Achane has recorded 82+ rushing yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five Sunday games.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 82+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last five games played on the East Coast.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 224+ passing yards in 11 of his last 12 Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 21+ completions in nine of his last 10 Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last 12 Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- Jaylen Waddle has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last five games played on the East Coast.
- Heading into Week 13, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the equal-most tackles in a single game this season (20 vs Commanders, Week 11).
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Taysom Hill has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances against AFC opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 14+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances against AFC opponents.
- Alvin Kamara has recorded 70+ rushing yards in each of the Saints’ last five road games against AFC East opponents.
- Taysom Hill has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Saints’ last six Week 13 games.
- Spencer Rattler has recorded 25+ completions in three of his last four appearances following a home loss.
- Heading into Week 13, Kool-Aid McKinstry has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 13, the Dolphins have allowed an average of just 13.0 points over their last two games – equal-fewest in the league over that span.
- Heading into Week 13, the Dolphins rank 2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (9) this season.
- Heading into Week 13, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in average yards per punt (43.9) this season.
- Heading into Week 13, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (36.0%) this season.
Saints vs Dolphins Prediction
In this Saints vs Dolphins Prediction, the Dolphins are coming as -6-point home favorites. The Saints have been one of the weakest teams in the NFL this season, with just two wins overall and have been also bad against the spread, with a 3-8 record. They are up against a Miami squad that has been in good form lately, with a 3-1 record in its last 4 games and have a superior offense, scoring 5.5 points per game more than New Orleans, who have the second-worst offense in the league. The value here lies with the home favorite, so take the Dolphins and lay the -6 in this one.