In this article we will formulate a Saints vs Patriots prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 12th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.
New Orleans Saints Betting Preview
The New Orleans Saints are 1-4 this year after they defeated the Giants by a score of 26-14 last week. New Orleans led 16-14 at halftime and their defense pitched a shutout in the second half to pickup their first win of the season. The Saints were out gained by a total of 335-332, went 7-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 5-0 in the game. Spencer Rattler went 21-31 for 225 yards and one touchdown, while Kendre Miller rushed 10 times for 41 yards. Rashid Shaheed led the receivers with four receptions for 114 yards and one touchdown in the game. The NO defense recorded one sack and two tackles for loss in the victory.
Prior to that win, the Saints started their season with four straight losses against the Bills, Seahawks, 49ers, and Cardinals. New Orleans is averaging 18.4 points per game with 190.4 passing yards and 116.8 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 27.0 points against per game this season. Spencer Rattler has completed 67.2% of his passes for 990 yards, six touchdowns, and one interception, while Rashid Shaheed has 22 receptions for 288 yards and two scores. Alvin Kamara (questionable) has led the ground game with 283 yards and one touchdown this year.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots are 3-2 this season after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 23-20 in their last game. New England led 6-3 at halftime, but they blew a 20-10 lead in the fourth, before winning on a field goal with 15 seconds left. The Patriots were out gained by a total of 363-338, went 3-9 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 3-1 in the game. Drake Maye went 22-30 for 273 yards, while TreVeyon Henderson rushed six times for 24 yards. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 10 receptions for 146 yards in the win. The NE defense recorded one sack and two tackles for loss in the victory.
Prior to that win, New England defeated Carolina, lost to Pittsburgh, defeated Miami, and lost to Las Vegas. The Patriots are averaging 25.0 points per game with 241.4 passing yards and 95.2 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 20.2 points against per game this season. Drake Maye has completed 73.9% of his passes for 1,261 yards, seven touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Stefon Diggs has 29 receptions for 359 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson has led the rushing attack with 139 yards and two scores this season.
Why the New Orleans Saints will win
- The Patriots have lost each of their last seven games following a Division game.
- The Saints have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Patriots.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Saints have covered the spread in four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Saints have won the first half in each of their last eight Week 6 home games.
- The Saints have won the first quarter in each of their last three games as underdogs following a home win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Patriots’ last eight games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Saints’ last four Week 6 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts
- Rashid Shaheed has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances following a win.
- Taysom Hill has recorded 17+ rushing yards in each of his six previous October appearances with the Saints as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Brandin Cooks has recorded 23+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his eight previous October appearances with the Saints as underdogs.
- Brandin Cooks has recorded 22+ receiving yards in 22 of his 23 previous appearances with the Saints as underdogs.
- Spencer Rattler has recorded 21+ completions in five of the Saints’ last six games.
- Heading into Week 6, Kool-Aid McKinstry has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Giants, Week 5).
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Stefon Diggs has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six Week 6 appearances.
- Drake Maye has recorded 268+ passing yards in each of the Patriots’ last four games following a win.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six October appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Austin Hooper has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Antonio Gibson has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his nine previous appearances against NFC South opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Patriots’ last five games following a win.
- Heading into Week 6, Antonio Gibson is the only player in the NFL to have a kick return touchdown this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Saints rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (5) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (10.2) this season.
- Patriots – four different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
- Patriots – four different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
Saints vs Patriots Prediction
New Orleans was able to take advantage of some sloppy play by the Giants to get their first win of the season last week and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Saints have struggled on defense this year, but they did force five turnovers in that victory. New England has won three of their last four games and they also played very good defense against the Bills on Sunday night. The Patriots don’t strike me as a team with a ton of talent, but they are playing very well over the last month. I really don’t trust either side in this matchup, but this is a sell high spot for New England, who will almost certainly not play as well as they did last week. Take the Saints and the points here.
David Racey is 31-17 (65%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!