In this article we will formulate a Seahawks vs Patriots prediction for this NFL game on Wednesday, September 9th at Lumen Field in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 1 matchup.
Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview
The Seattle Seahawks were 14-3 last year and they finished first in the NFC West, which was two games ahead of the Rams in second. Seattle lost their first game of the season and they were just 3-2 through five weeks, but they won 11 of their last 12 games. The Seahawks ended the regular season by winning seven games in a row and they allowed 16 points or fewer in five of their last six. Seattle defeated the 49ers 41-6, defeated the Rams 31-27, and defeated the Patriots 29-13 in the playoffs, as they won the Super Bowl. The Seahawks scored 28.4 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 17.2 points against per game on defense, which was the best in the NFL.
In the preseason, Seattle went 0-2-1 in their three games, which was last in the NFC West standings. The Seahawks lost to the Cowboys by a score of 17-7, lost to the Titans by a score of 19-16, and tied the Chiefs by a score of 9-9. Seattle has Sam Darnold back at quarterback with Jadarian Price as the starting running back and JSN as the primary receiver.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots went 14-3 last season and they finished first in the AFC East standings, two games ahead of the Bills. New England started their season with a 20-13 loss to the Raiders and they were just 1-2 through three games. The Patriots won 10 in a row after the poor start, before going 3-1 in their last four. New England was very good defensively, as they allowed 20 points or fewer in 10 of their last 14 games. The Patriots defeated the Chargers 16-3, defeated the Texans 28-16, and defeated the Broncos 10-7, but lost to the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. New England scored 28.8 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 18.8 points against per game on defense.
In the preseason, New England went 1-1-1 and they finished second in the AFC East. The Patriots tied the Colts by a score of 13-13, defeated the Eagles by a score of 24-21, and lost to the Browns by a score of 37-13 in their three games. New England has Drake Maye back at QB with Rhamondre Stevenson starting at running back and AJ Brown has the primary receiver.
Why the Seattle Seahawks will win
- The Seahawks have won each of their last 10 games.
- The Patriots have lost each of their last five games against NFC West opponents.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs against NFC West opponents.
- The Seahawks have covered the spread in each of their last five games.
- The Patriots have lost the first half in each of their last nine games against NFC West opponents.
- The Seahawks have won the first quarter in each of their last six games.
- The Seahawks have scored the first touchdown in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last nine road games.
- The Seahawks have lost four of their last five home games without Uchenna Nwosu.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson.
- The Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites without Uchenna Nwosu.
- The Seahawks have lost the first quarter in four of their five previous season openers against AFC East opponents.
- The Patriots have won the first half in seven of their last eight Week 1 road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Patriots’ last seven games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Seahawks’ last four home games without Uchenna Nwosu have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Facts
- Cooper Kupp has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his eight previous September appearances against AFC opponents.
- Sam Darnold has recorded 241+ passing yards in seven of his last eight regular season appearances against AFC opponents.
- Cooper Kupp has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of his 11 previous September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Sam Darnold has recorded 21+ completions in each of his four previous September appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Zach Charbonnet has scored the first touchdown in each of the Seahawks’ last three regular season games as favorites.
- Cooper Kupp has recorded 31+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 11 previous September appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Zach Charbonnet has recorded 38+ rushing yards in four of his last five September appearances with the Seahawks as favorites.
- Zach Charbonnet has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranked 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (1793) last season.
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Mack Hollins has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances against NFC West opponents.
- Drake Maye has recorded 37+ rushing yards in four of the Patriots’ last five games.
- Drake Maye has recorded 230+ passing yards in eight of the Patriots’ last nine regular season road games.
- Romeo Doubs has recorded 36+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances against NFC West opponents.
- Demario Douglas has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games against NFC opponents.
- Kevin Byard ranked 1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) last season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Seahawks – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Seahawks – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Patriots – two different players recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
- Patriots – two different players recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game last season – equal-most in the NFL.
Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction
Seattle comes into this season looking to start strong after last year’s Super Bowl, and they will have the home field advantage. The Seahawks are loaded once again this year, but we will see what version of Sam Darnold we get. New England did lose to Seattle in the Super Bowl, but they had a great season and will be looking to run it back. We saw the Seahawks dominate the Patriots to end the 2025 season and I think it could be more of the same here. Take Seattle at home, as their defense will be the difference.