Titans vs Texans Prediction 11/16/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Titans vs Texans prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 16th at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup.

Tennessee Titans Betting Preview

The Tennessee Titans are 1-8 this season after they lost to the Chargers by a score of 27-20 in their last game. Tennessee trailed 20-17 at halftime and only managed three points in the second half for the loss. The Titans were out gained by a total of 343-206, went 1-9 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Cam Ward went 12-21 for 145 yards, while Tony Pollard rushed 10 times for 56 yards. Elic Ayomanor led the receivers with three catches for 46 yards in the loss. The Tennessee defense recorded six sacks and six tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Tennessee lost to the Colts by a score of 38-14 and the Patriots by a score of 31-13. The Titans have lost four games in a row and they are currently last in the AFC South standings. Tennessee has scored 14.4 points per game with 162.8 passing yards and 81.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.6 points against per game this season. Cam Ward has thrown for 1,760 yards, five touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Tony Pollard has rushed for 480 yards and two scores on 119 carries this season. 

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans are 4-5 this year after they defeated Jacksonville by a score of 36-29 in their last game. Houston trailed 20-10 at halftime and 29-10 in the fourth quarter, but they scored the last 26 points to escape with the win. The Texans out gained Jacksonville by a total of 412-213, went 10-15 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Davis Mills went 27-45 for 292 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Woody Marks rushed 14 times for 63 yards and one score. Nico Collins led the receivers with seven receptions for 136 yards in the win. The Houston defense recorded five sacks and eight tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Houston lost to the Broncos by a score of 18-15, but did beat the 49ers by a score of 26-15 before that. The Texans have split their last four games and they are currently third in the AFC South standings. Houston has scored 22.7 points per game with 220.0 passing yards and 111.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 16.7 points against per game this season. Davis Mills will be starting for CJ Stroud once again and he has thrown for 452 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Nico Collins has 40 receptions for 550 yards and three scores this year. 

Why the Houston Texans will win

• The Titans have lost each of their last 12 games against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents on a losing streak.
• The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last four road games against the Titans.
• The Titans have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against the Titans.
• The Titans have lost the first half in each of their last 11 games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Titans’ last five games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Texans’ last five November games as road favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last four Sunday games at Nissan Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

• Tyjae Spears has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances following a home loss.
• Tony Pollard has recorded 45+ rushing yards in 15 of his last 16 home appearances against conference opponents.
• Cam Ward has recorded 222+ passing yards in four of the Titans’ last five games.
• Cam Ward has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Titans’ last five games.
• Tony Pollard has recorded 55+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last nine home appearances against division opponents.
• Tyjae Spears has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with the Titans as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 11, Chimere Dike ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (1108) this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• Nick Chubb has recorded 34+ rushing yards in each of his last 25 appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Nico Collins has recorded 79+ receiving yards in each of his nine previous appearances with the Texans as favorites against AFC South opponents.
• Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his four previous appearances with the Texans as road favorites.
• Nick Chubb has recorded 50+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Heading into Week 11, Derek Stingley Jr. ranks T4th in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 11, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in points per game (14.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (244.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (16.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in yards allowed per game (261.3) this season.

Titans vs Texans Prediction 

Houston comes into this matchup after a crazy comeback win last week against Jacksonville, but they will be on the road without their starting quarterback here. The Texans are just 1-3 on the road this year and they need their defense to really step up with Stroud out. Tennessee is 0-4 at home and they have allowed at least 27 points in three straight games. This is a chance for the Titans to get their second win with Houston starting Mills at quarterback, but I don’t think the Tennessee offense can do enough to make that happen. Take the Texans to cover on the road. 

David Racey is 63-35 (64%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. David went 6-3 in the NFL last week and continues to be red hot. Click here for his premium plays for this week!