Vikings vs Bills Prediction
Buffalo comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored at least 33 points in all three of those wins. The Bills have just one loss on the season and they are 3-0 on the road. Minnesota picked up their first loss of the year last week in Detroit and they have scored 16 points or fewer in three of their last four games. The Vikings have a great defense, but the offense is one of the worst in the league. I know the defense can make a difference, but I love Josh Allen and the Bills in this spot. Take Buffalo here.
Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
The Minnesota Vikings are 6-1 this season after they lost to the Lions by a score of 19-15 last week. Minnesota led 7-6 at halftime and 15-12 late in the fourth, but they allowed a touchdown with 4:35 left for the loss and the failed cover. The Vikings were out gained by a total of 384-266, went 3-10 in third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Kyler Murray threw for 210 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while also rushing for 35 yards on four carries. Jordan Addison caught three passes for 66 yards in the loss.
Prior to that game, Minnesota defeated the Colts by a score of 16-10 and the Saints by a score of 23-13. The Vikings have scored 20.0 points per game with 165.6 passing yards and 113.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 13.3 points against per game this season. Kyler Murray has thrown for 1,022 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions, while Justin Jefferson has 28 catches for 335 yards and four scores. Aaron Jones Sr has been the lead rusher with 110 carries for 458 yards and two touchdowns this season.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
The Buffalo Bills are 6-1 this year after they defeated the Ravens by a score of 36-10 in their last game. Buffalo led 16-7 at halftime and they added 20 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Bills out gained Baltimore by a total of 426-144, went 4-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-2 in the game. Josh Allen threw for 289 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Dalton Kincaid caught four passes for 86 yards and one score. James Cook III rushed 21 times for 80 yards and one touchdown in the win.
Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated the Raiders by a score of 33-30 and the Rams by a score of 37-34. The Bills have scored 33.3 points per game with 244.7 passing yards and 148.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.9 points against per game this season. Josh Allen has thrown for 1,793 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, while James Cook III has rushed 138 times for 707 yards and seven scores. Dalton Kincaid has caught 27 passes for 401 yards and two touchdowns this year.
Why the Buffalo Bills will win
- The Vikings have lost each of their last seven Monday games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Bills have won each of their last eight games as road favorites before a Division game.
- The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games in November.
- The road team has covered the spread in five of the Vikings’ last six games.
- The Bills have won the first half in each of their last nine November games against NFC opponents.
- The Bills have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last nine night games against NFC opponents.
- The Bills have won the first quarter in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Vikings’ last eight games without Carson Wentz have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Bills’ last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four Monday games at U.S. Bank Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six Monday regular season appearances.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 211+ passing yards in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Aaron Jones has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight Monday appearances.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Carson Wentz has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Odell Beckham Jr. has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of his 28 previous appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
- Heading into Week 9, Will Reichard ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (6) this season.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- Josh Allen has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Bills’ last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 41+ rushing yards in each of the Bills’ last six games against NFC North opponents.
- James Cook has recorded 101+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last four November games.
- Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last seven November games against NFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Bills’ last four November road games against NFC opponents.
- Dawson Knox has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his 12 previous November road appearances.
- James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last six games.
- Heading into Week 9, Josh Allen is the only player in the NFL to record 1,000 passing yards and 250 rushing yards this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (13.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (154.9) this season.
- Bills – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Bills – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
Positive Trends
Buffalo comes into this game with some solid trends that I think push us in the right direction. The Bills typically start fast against NFC North opponents, which is super important against a good defense. Minnesota is 0-5 against the spread in their last five November games and the road team has covered the spread in five of Minnesota’s last six games. Take the Bills on the road.