Vikings vs Packers Prediction
In this Vikings vs Packers Prediction, the Packers are coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have the same number of overall wins this season and both are 3-1 home and away. The Packers have been in far better form, having won five of their last six games and are a perfect 6-0 against the spread, while on the other hand, the Vikings have back-to-back losses and their starting quarterback is doubtful to play. They have scored just 37 points in their last three games combined and I just don’t see them being competitive in this game. Take the Packers and lay the small number at home.
Green Bay Packers Preview
The Green Bay Packers have a 6-3 record this season are sitting on the 4th place of the NFC North. They have a 3-1 home record and are 3-1 on the road and are 6-3 against the spread and 3-6 in over/under. They are coming off a 45-27 road win against the Patriots and will face the Rams and the Saints next.
Offensively, the Packers average 24 points per game, ranking 12th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.2 points per game, which is 11th. Green Bay averages 347.9 total yards per game (279.7 passing and 68.2 rushing), while allowing 322.9 total yards per game (109 rushing and 213.9 passing). They average 5.6 yards per play, while allowing 4.9 yards per play to opponents. They score on 38.2% of their offensive drives, while averaging 2.13 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 30.8% of drives, while allowing 1.85 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 11 times, while defensively, they have forced 19 turnovers, giving them a +8 net turnover margin.
Jordan Love leads the Packers with 2618 passing yards with 63.0% completed passes and 19 touchdowns. Kaleb Johnson leads the team in rushing yards with 172, while Christian Watson has 49 receptions for a team-high 879 receiving yards. Defensively, Evan Williams has a team-high 76 total tackles (48 of them solo), while Lukas Van Ness leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.
Injury Report:
- Kevin Zeitler (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 15
- Travis Glover (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 15
- Aaron Banks (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 15
- Sean Rhyan (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 15
- Warren Brinson (IR, Calf) – Est. return Nov 15
Minnesota Vikings Preview
The Minnesota Vikings have a 6-2 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the NFC North. They have a 3-1 home record and are 3-1 on the road and are 4-4 against the spread and 1-7 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-23 home loss against the Bills and will face the 49ers and the Falcons next.
Offensively, the Vikings average 18.3 points per game, ranking 27th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 14.5 points per game, which is 1st. Minnesota averages 266.8 total yards per game (160.8 passing and 106 rushing), while allowing 280 total yards per game (118.9 rushing and 161.1 passing). They average 4.6 yards per play, while allowing 4.6 yards per play to opponents. They score on 34.5% of their offensive drives, while averaging 1.54 points per drive. Defensively, they allow opponents to score on 27.6% of drives, while allowing 1.29 points per drive. Offensively, they have turned the ball over 8 times, while defensively, they have forced 13 turnovers, giving them a +5 net turnover margin.
Kyler Murray leads the Vikings with 1022 passing yards with 64.9% completed passes and 5 touchdowns but he is doubtful to play in this game. Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing yards with 474, while Justin Jefferson has 31 receptions for a team-high 393 receiving yards. Defensively, Blake Cashman has a team-high 76 total tackles (41 of them solo), while Andrew Van Ginkel leads the team in sacks, with 7.5.
Injury Report:
- Blake Cashman (Questionable, Concussion) – Est. return Nov 15
- Jauan Jennings (Questionable, Calf) – Est. return Nov 15
- Carson Wentz (Questionable, Ankle) – Est. return Nov 15
- T.J. Hockenson (Questionable, Wrist) – Est. return Nov 15
- Jay Ward (Questionable, Knee) – Est. return Nov 15
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last five day games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Vikings have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last six games without Luke Musgrave.
- The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without Kirk Cousins.
- The Vikings have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games at Lambeau Field following a loss.
- The Packers have won the first half in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
Why the Minnesota Vikings will win
- The Vikings have won each of their last six games without Ivan Pace Jr..
- The Packers have lost each of their last three games as favorites without Tucker Kraft.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites without MarShawn Lloyd.
- The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last four road games without Justin Jefferson.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Vikings’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Packers’ last eight games against the Vikings following a win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between NFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Watson has scored the first touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four games against NFC North opponents.
- Matthew Golden has scored a touchdown in four of the Packers’ last five games as favorites.
- Jordan Love has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Packers’ last five games.
- MarShawn Lloyd has recorded 13+ rushing yards in each of his six previous appearances in Sunday day games.
- Jordan Love has recorded 274+ passing yards in seven of the Packers’ last eight games against NFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 16+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 10, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (5) this season.
Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts
- Jordan Addison has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Vikings’ last three day road games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 23+ completions in each of his five previous Week 10 road appearances.
- Aaron Jones has recorded 34+ rushing yards in 21 of his last 23 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NFC opponents.
- Aaron Jones has recorded 54+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances in Week 10 day games.
- Kirk Cousins has recorded 238+ passing yards in eight of his last nine appearances following a home loss.
- Aaron Jones has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last eight November road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Aaron Jones has the worst drop rate (13.6%) of any qualified player this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Packers – only team with 2+ players to record 700+ receiving yards this season (Christian Watson, Matthew Golden), heading into Week 10.
- Packers – 13 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 10.
- Heading into Week 10, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (17.5 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 10, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (32.8) this season.