Commanders vs Rams Prediction
I’ll stick with the Commanders but you could probably call this one either way. Washington got a nice win over a struggling Eagles team last weekend on 339 yards, 16 first downs and a shaky 5-of-13 on third-down tries. Defense is where the team really excelled in that one though, as that unit held Philly to just 5-of-15 on third downs and 268 total yards along with two takeaways. Washington is generally scoring pretty well this year with 20 or more points in five of seven games. Their only defeat to come by more than one score was a 37-20 loss at Dallas in Week 2. The Commanders will be competitive against most teams if they play to their capabilities.
As for the Rams, they held the Chargers to just 14 first downs and 6-of-15 on third downs alongside two takeaways. Los Angeles’ offense put up a tepid 281 yards, 16 first downs and 3-of-11 on third-down tries but they didn’t need to be super flashy amid a strong defensive effort. The Rams have scored a combined 59 points over their last two games and they’re feeling confident going into another winnable matchup. It should be a close one.
Game Info, Stats and Previews
The Los Angeles Rams and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium in Summerfield. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Commanders vs Rams prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Commanders vs Rams pick.
Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview
This year the Rams have been a mixed bag with more downs than ups. Los Angeles started out on a 2-2 run with wins over the New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles mixed with losses to the 49ers and Broncos. After two more losses to the Buffalo Bills and Arizona Cardinals, the Rams posted a win over the Raiders. That victory would bring LA’s record to 3-4 overall through the first seven games.
In Sunday’s game versus the Chargers, the Rams gave up a couple of field goals in the second quarter but still had a very small lead 10-9 going into the break. LA came back out with a couple of third-quarter touchdowns and finished off the game with a 24-9 victory. QB Matthew Stafford was 17-of-25 for 157 yards, one TD and one pick. Blake Corum led the rush with 11 totes for 73 yards and a score while Puka Nacua had 11 catches for 80 yards and a touchdown.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
Over on the Commanders’ side, they’ve had been worse luck in the win column this year. Washington was only able to win one of their first four games, taking out Seattle on September 27. The losses otherwise were versus Philadelphia, Dallas and Indianapolis. After a tie versus the rival New York Giants, the Commanders took another loss versus the 49ers for a 1-4-1 run through the first six.
In the matchup versus Philadelphia, the Commanders gave up a TD and a field goal in the first quarter but then got it going themselves in the second. Washington scored three times for a 13-10 edge at halftime. From there the Commanders held the Eagles scoreless and waltzed into a 27-10 victory. QB Jayden Daniels was 16-of-29 for 217 yards and a TD. Rachaad White had 11 carries for 55 yards and a TD while Treylon Burks had three catches for 81 yards.
Los Angeles Rams @ Washington Commanders Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Rams have lost each of their last three games as favorites without Tutu Atwell.
- The Commanders have won each of their last two games as underdogs without Dyami Brown.
- The Rams have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games without Tutu Atwell.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs without Marcus Mariota.
- The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Sunday day games at Northwest Stadium.
- The Commanders have won the first quarter in each of their last nine day games against the Rams following a win.
- The Commanders have won the first half in four of their last five games at Northwest Stadium.
Why the Los Angeles Rams will win
- The Commanders have lost each of their last seven games following a win.
- The road team has won seven of the Commanders’ last eight Week 9 games.
- The Rams have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four November games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Rams have scored the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites following a win.
- The road team has won the first quarter in each of the Commanders’ last five Week 9 games.
- The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last eight Week 9 home games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last eight day games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Rams’ last seven road games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the last nine Sunday day games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Stefon Diggs has scored a touchdown in seven of his last eight November appearances against NFC opponents.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 32+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 19 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 202+ passing yards in six of his last seven appearances in day games at Northwest Stadium.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 20+ rushing yards in 18 of his last 19 November appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances in day games against NFC West opponents.
- Rachaad White has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances in day games against NFC West opponents.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his 10 previous November appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in eight of his nine previous appearances with the Commanders as underdogs following a win.
- Heading into Week 9, Tim Settle ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.
Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts
- Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Rams’ last seven day road games.
- Kyren Williams has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of the Rams’ last 11 regular season road games against NFC opponents.
- Colby Parkinson has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances in Sunday day games.
- Tutu Atwell has recorded 13+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous November road appearances.
- Kyren Williams has scored two touchdowns in three of the Rams’ last four road games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 251+ passing yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC East opponents.
- Matthew Stafford has recorded 24+ completions in six of the Rams’ last seven games following a home win.
- Heading into Week 9, Matthew Stafford has recorded the most completions in a single game this season (40 vs Bills, Week 5).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Commanders rank T1st in the NFL in turnover differential (+7) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, three different Commanders players have recorded a touchdown pass this season – equal-most in the league.
- Rams – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Rams – eight different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.