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Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning 12/11/21 NHL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning (17-5-4) vs. Ottawa Senators (7-16-1)
December 11, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators +195 / Tampa Bay Lightning -240; Over/Under: -1.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. The Tampa Bay Lightning look to build on their five-game winning streak. The Ottawa Senators need a win after losing seven of their last 10 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring on 19.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Steven Stamkos leads Tampa Bay with 13 goals, Victor Hedman has 22 assists and Corey Perry has 55 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.6 goals per game and are killing 81.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 46 goals on 626 shots faced, and Brain Elliott has allowed 14 goals on 154 shots.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.6 goals per game and are scoring on 17.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Josh Norris leads Ottawa with 11 goals, Drake Batherson has 13 assists and Brady Tkachuck has 65 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.8 goals per game and are killing 72.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anton Forsberg has allowed 28 goals on 266 shots faced, and Filip Gustavsson has allowed 40 goals on 373 shots.

The Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 road games and 113-53 in their last 166 overall. The Senators are 2-9 in their last 11 home games and 5-16 in their last 21 overall. The over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 overall. The over is 4-1 in Senators last 5 home games. The Lightning are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Ottawa and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

This is just two teams heading in different directions, and the talent gap is quite large. Even at home and with an early start, the Ottawa Senators haven’t shown us enough to make chasing a potential big payout worth it. The Tampa Bay Lightning should cruise here, which would mean the favorite would have won 38 of the last 52 meetings between these clubs. Give me Tampa and the PL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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