Lightning vs. Sabres - 12/4/14 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Buffalo Sabres (9-14-2) at Tampa Bay Lightning (17-6-3)
NHL Hockey: Thursday, December 4, 2014 at 7:30 pm (Tampa Bay Times Forum)
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -287 / Buffalo Sabres +257 --- Over/Under: 5.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: MSGB, SUN
The Buffalo Sabres and Tampa Bay Lightning play Thursday at the Amalie Arena.
The Buffalo Sabres are playing their best hockey of the season by winning six of their last seven games, which includes a win over Tampa Bay on Tuesday. The Sabres are averaging 1.6 goals per game but have scored eight goals in their last three games. The Buffalo Sabres have scored one power play goal in their last six games and are 5-1 this season overall when scoring at least three goals. Zemgus Girgensons leads Buffalo with eight goals, Tyler Ennis has nine assists and Matt Moulson has 51 shots on goal. Defensively, the Sabres are allowing three goals per game and are 4-4 on penalty killing in their last two games. Michal Neuvirth has allowed 27 goals on 339 shots faced and Jhonas Enroth has given up 47 goals on 562 shots.
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The Tampa Bay Lightning have won four of their last five games and begin a four-game homestand. The Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and have scored 11 goals in their last three games. The Tampa Bay Lightning have scored a power play goal in four of their last five games and are 15-0 this season when scoring at least three goals overall. Steven Stamkos leads Tampa Bay with 15 goals, Tyler Johnson has 19 assists and Ryan Callahan has 61 shots on goal. Defensively, the Lightning are allowing 2.5 goals per game and have allowed a pp goal in six of their last eight games. Ben Bishop has allowed 48 goals on 577 shots faced and Evgeni Nabokov has given up 17 goals on 145 shots.
The Sabres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic and 12-40 in their last 52 road games. The Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 9-3 in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference. The Sabres are 13-5 in the last 18 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Based on the value, I'm going to back the Buffalo Sabres here. Buffalo just beat Tampa Bay on Tuesday and has had great success in Tampa over the years. It's not very often there's value in taking the Sabres on the road. Take advantage of it while you can.