Lightning vs. Sabres - 3/3/15 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Buffalo Sabres (19-39-5) at Tampa Bay Lightning (38-20-6)
NHL Hockey: Tuesday, March 3, 2015 at 7:30 pm (St. Pete Times Forum)
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -395 / Buffalo Sabres +342 --- Over/Under: 5.5 See the Latest Odds
The Buffalo Sabres and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday night at the Amalie Arena.
The Buffalo Sabres look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Sabres are averaging 1.8 goals per game and have scored 13 goals in their last three games. The Buffalo Sabres have one power play goal in their last seven games and have won five of their last six games when scoring at least three goals. Tyler Ennis and Zemgus Girgensons have combined for 30 goals, Matt Moulson has 20 assists and Chris Stewart has 116 shots on goal. Defensively, the Sabres are allowing 3.3 goals per game and have allowed a power play goal in six of their last 10 games. Michal Neuvirth has allowed 77 goals on 941 shots faced and Matt Hackett has given up four goals on 37 shots.
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The Tampa Bay Lightning look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Lightning are averaging 3.3 goals per game and have scored 11 goals in their last three games. The Tampa Bay Lightning have four power play goals in their last four games and have won five of their last eight games when scoring at least three goals. Steven Stamkos leads Tampa Bay with 35 goals, Tyler Johnson has 37 assists and Nikita Kucherov has 146 shots on goal. Defensively, the Lightning are allowing 2.6 goals per game and haven’t allowed a power play goal in five of their last six games. Ben Bishop has allowed 110 goals on 1,260 shots faced and Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 22 goals on 251 shots.
The Sabres are 12-51 in their last 63 road games and 22-45 in their last 67 vs. a team with a winning record. The Lightning are 21-5 in their last 26 home games and 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Sabres are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay and 1-4 in the last 5 meetings overall.
Yes, I know we usually fade the Sabres on the road regardless of who they're playing. However, the only value in this spot is with Buffalo. Even backing the spread with Tampa shows no great return. I'll take a shot in the dark with the Sabres for more than three times my money.