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Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 7 - 5/23/18 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Capitals (60-31-9) at Tampa Bay Lightning (65-28-5)

NHL Hockey: Wednesday, May 23, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -167 / Washington Capitals +128 --- Over/Under: 5.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBCSN

The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lighting meet Wednesday for game seven of the NHL Eastern Conference Finals at the Amalie Arena.

The Washington Capitals will advance to their first ever Stanley Cup Final since 1997-98 with a victory here. The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 22.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Evgeny Kuznetsov leads Washington with 11 goals, John Carlson has 12 assists and Alex Ovechkin has 76 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Braden Holtby has given up 37 goals on 455 shots faced and Philipp Grubauer has allowed eight goals on 49 shots. The Washington Capitals have allowed three or more goals in six of their last 10 games.

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Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 7 - 5/23/18 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Lighting can make it two Stanley Cup Final appearances in the last four years with a victory here. The Tampa Bay Lighting are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 23.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with seven goals, Victor Hedman has 10 assists and Tyler Johnson has 40 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lighting are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 76.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 40 goals on 502 shots faced and Louis Domingue has allowed zero goals on seven shots. The Tampa Bay Lighting have allowed three or less goals in eight of their last 10 games.

The Capitals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games, 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win and 23-10 in their last 33 overall. The Lightning are 43-17 in their last 60 games playing on 1 days rest, 37-15 in their last 52 home games and 73-35 in their last 108 overall. The road team is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the under is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings.

You could make a case for either side in this do or die game, as both clubs have shown the ability to get the job done on the others home ice, and while the Lightning are the better and deeper team, the Capitals have the best player in the series and showed how they can control a game being physical. These game sevens are usually decided by a lucky bounce here or a lucky bounce there. Good luck being on the right side. If I had to pick the side, I'd take Washington just because of the plus money. But in terms of my pick, I'm suggesting the under. Game sevens are usually tight and defensive minded. A lot of times teams play not to lose rather than being aggressive and going for the victory. The over hasn't hit between these two teams in the last four games and 11 of the last 15 game sevens have produced five or less goals. Give me the under.

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