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Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals - Game 4 - 6/4/18 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Vegas Golden Knights (64-28-8) at Washington Capitals (63-32-9)

NHL Hockey: Monday, June 4, 2018 at 8:00 pm (Capital One Arena)

The Line: Washington Capitals -177 / Vegas Golden Knights +135 --- Over/Under: 5.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Vegas Golden Knights and Washington Capitals meet Monday in game four of the NHL Stanley Cup Finals at the Capital One Arena.

The Vegas Golden Knights hope to tie this series up at 2-2 before going back home for game five on Thursday. The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring on 21.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Jonathan Marchessault leads Las Vegas with eight goals, Reilly Smith has 16 assists and James Neal has 60 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 81.4 percent of their opponents power plays. Marc-Andre Fleury has given up 37 goals on 585 shots faced. The Vegas Golden Knights have allowed three or more goals in five of their last 10 games.

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Vegas Golden Knights at Washington Capitals - Game 4 - 6/4/18 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Capitals can take complete control of this series with a third straight victory to improve to a 3-1 lead. The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 22.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 14 goals, Evgeny Kuznetsov has 15 assists and Nicklas Backstrom has 33 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Braden Holtby has given up 45 goals on 578 shots faced and Philipp Grubauer has allowed eight goals on 49 shots. The Washington Capitals have allowed two or less goals in four of their last five games.

The Golden Knights are 5-0 in their last 5 Monday games, 37-16 in their last 53 games playing on 1 days rest and 13-5 in their last 18 overall. The Capitals are 95-41 in their last 136 home games, 26-9 in their last 35 Monday games and 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The under is 5-1-2 in Capitals last 8 overall and the under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 overall.

We're getting to that point in the series where both teams have felt each other out and know what needs to be done to beat the other side. We're also at that point where the defense tends to take over. With Washington a victory from taking full control of this series and Vegas a win away from getting back into this thing, this is the point where both teams kind of rely on the defense and physical play. The under has been a popular trend for both of these clubs lately, but it's even more so the case once you get to the mid or later parts of a series. Goals become much tougher to come by and the hits pick up. Instead of picking a side, I'm going to pick the under in this game.

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