Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens - 3/5/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Montreal Canadiens - 3/5/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports

Montreal Canadiens (31-28-9) at Tampa Bay Lightning (41-20-5)

NHL Hockey: Thursday, March 5, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -195 / Montreal Canadiens +175 --- Over/Under: 6.5

TV: TSN2, SunS

The Montreal Canadiens and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena.

The Montreal Canadiens need a win after splitting their last eight games. The Montreal Canadiens are averaging three goals per game and are scoring on 18.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Tomas Tatar leads Montreal with 22 goals, Max Domi has 27 assists and Brendan Gallagher has 222 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 78.6 percent of their opponents power plays. Carey Price has given up 152 goals on 1,696 shots faced and Keith Kinkaid has allowed 24 goals on 192 shots. The Montreal Canadiens have allowed three or more goals in 10 of their last 15 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning need a win after losing five of their last six games. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 23.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 31 goals, Steven Stamkos has 37 assists and Kevin Shattenkirk has 123 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 81.9 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 128 goals on 1,499 shots faced and Curtis McElhinney has allowed 48 goals on 523 shots. The Tampa Bay Lightning have allowed two or less goals in eight of their last 15 games.

The Canadiens are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games, 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference and 7-3 in their last 10 road games. The Lightning are 47-16 in their last 63 Thursday games, 70-25 in their last 95 vs. Eastern Conference and 52-22 in their last 74 home games. The over is 4-0 in Canadiens last 4 overall. The over is 7-1 in Lightning last 8 overall. The Canadiens are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay and 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.

We know it's only a matter of time before the Tampa Bay Lightning snap out of this funk, and they're still one of the tougher home teams in the league as well. However, at some point you have to start taking advantage of the Lightning's struggles and cash on some of these insane prices on the other side. The Tampa Bay Lightning are one loss away from being losers on the season betting wise, and the Montreal Canadiens have played some of their best recent hockey on the road. I'll take a stab with the Habs and the big payout.

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Randy’s Pick Montreal Canadiens +175

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.