Anaheim Ducks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 3/6/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports
Toronto Maple Leafs (35-24-9) at Anaheim Ducks (27-32-8)
NHL Hockey: Friday, March 6, 2020 at 10:00 pm (Honda Center)
The Line: Anaheim Ducks +155 / Toronto Maple Leafs -175 --- Over/Under: 6.5
TV: TSN4, Prime Ticket
The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Anaheim Ducks meet in NHL action from the Honda Center on Friday night.
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to rebound after a 1-0 shootout loss to the Los Angeles Kings in their last outing. Toronto was outshot 11-5 in the opening frame but would outshoot the Kings 25-13 over the final 40 minutes of regulation, including 14-6 in the 2nd period. The OT period was wildly entertaining as well with lots of back-and-forth action with 13 shots on goal in the 5 minute extra frame. The game went to the shootout where both sides scored once in the first three shooters, but Los Angeles would find the back of the net in round 4 while Toronto missed, giving the Kings the win and leaving Toronto with just one point from the loss. Frederik Andersen was a hard luck loser, falling to 28-13-7 despite stopping all 30 shots faced in regulation and overtime.
The Anaheim Ducks will look to build on a 4-3 overtime win over Colorado last time out. Colorado opened the scoring just 3:51 into the game before Andrew Agozzino tied the game at one just 1:43 later. Brendan Guhle gave Anaheim the lead later in the 1st but Colorado would have a quick response, tying the game just :49 later. Sam Steel would give Anaheim a 3-2 lead with just over seven minutes to go in the 2nd, but Colorad ouwld tie the game at three just over seven minutes into the 3rd. Neither side would find the game-winner in regulation, so it was off to overtime where Rickard Rakell potted the game-winning goal for the Ducks with just :02 remaining in overtime for the W. Ryan Miller got the win to improve to 8-6-3 after allowing 3 goals on 35 shots faced in the winning effort.
Toronto is 5-16 in their last 21 games playing on no rest and 27-10 in their last 37 games against the Pacific division while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Anaheim is 2-6 in their last 8 home games and 2-7 in their last 9 games against the Atlantic division while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Toronto is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the two teams in Anaheim.
The Leafs aren’t a team I’m really trying to get behind after their performance on Thursday as they just couldn’t get the puck to go in the net and the Leafs have historically had little success on no rest. However, the Leafs have done well against Anaheim over the years, and I’m still not overly high on the Ducks either as Anaheim is going nowhere come playoff time as well. I just think Toronto needs the win in the grand scheme of things and they put their foot down here to pick up the win in a low-scoring and physical game, so I’ll back Toronto in regulation to get the price down.