Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/10/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - 3/10/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay Lightning (43-20-6) at Toronto Maple Leafs (35-25-9)

NHL Hockey: Tuesday, March 10, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs +106 / Tampa Bay Lightning -117 --- Over/Under: 6.5

TV: SunS, TSN4

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena.

The Tampa Bay Lightning need a win after splitting their last six games. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 23.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 33 goals, Steven Stamkos has 37 assists and Kevin Shattenkirk has 127 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 131 goals on 1,569 shots faced and Curtis McElhinney has allowed 48 goals on 523 shots. The Tampa Bay Lightning have allowed two or less goals in nine of their last 18 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs need a win to snap a three-game losing streak. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 22.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 46 goals, Mitch Marner has 49 assists and Morgan Rielly has 122 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 77.2 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 142 goals on 1,544 shots faced and Jack Campbell  has allowed 16 goals on 189 shots. The Toronto Maple Leafs have allowed three or more goals in 12 of their last 21 games.

The Lightning are 61-24 in their last 85 games playing on 1 days rest, 7-3 in their last 10 road games and 156-73 in their last 229 games as a favorite. The Maple Leafs are 6-2 in their last 8 Tuesday games, 20-42 in their last 62 games as a home underdog and 6-14 in their last 20 games as an underdog. The over is 9-2 in Lightning last 11 overall. The under is 4-1 in Maple Leafs last 5 home games. The Lightning are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Right when you're ready to believe in the Toronto Maple Leafs turning the corner and snagging a playoff spot, they drop three straight and look a lot like the team they've been over the years. The Tampa Bay Lightning have had a few recent hiccups as well, but we know their struggles don't last, and they've proven they can win on the road and have also won seven of the last 10 meetings against the Maple Leafs. I'm siding with the Lightning and the cheap price because they're far and away the more trustworthy team.

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Randy’s Pick Tampa Bay Lightning -117

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.