Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 7/28/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - 7/28/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jean-Yves Ahern-USA TODAY Sports

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Montreal Canadiens

NHL Hockey: Tuesday, July 28, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)

The Line: Montreal Canadiens +135 / Toronto Maple Leafs -155 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens meet Tuesday in NHL exhibition action.

The Toronto Maple Leafs entered the NHL break splitting their last 14 games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 23.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 47 goals, Mitch Marner has 51 assists and Morgan Rielly has 123 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 77.7 percent of their opponents power plays. Frederik Andersen has given up 143 goals on 1,577 shots faced and Jack Campbell has allowed 16 goals on 189 shots.

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The Montreal Canadiens entered the NHL break losing five of their last seven games. The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring on 17.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Tomas Tatar leads Montreal with 22 goals, Max Domi has 27 assists and Brendan Gallagher has 226 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 78.7 percent of their opponents power plays. Carey Price has given up 160 goals on 1,755 shots faced and Keith Kinkaid has allowed 24 goals on 192 shots.

The Maple Leafs are 3-11 in the last 14 meetings in Montreal and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. The favorite is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. The home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Montreal and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

The Montreal Canadiens have gotten the better of the Toronto Maple Leafs in the last several meetings, which includes an overtime victory back in February on the road. The Toronto Maple Leafs haven't won a game against the Montreal Canadiens since February of 2019 and they're losing the last four games by an average of 1.25 goals. With that said, the Toronto Maple Leafs have more offensive firepower in this contest and with this being the first game setting in months, I expect to see some sloppy play and goals to be scored. I have more confidence in the Maple Leafs explosive offense than anything in this game.

Give me the Toronto Maple Leafs in this exhibition contest. 

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Randy’s Pick Toronto Maple Leafs -155

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.