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Dallas Stars vs. Calgary Flames – 8/18/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Calgary Flames at Dallas Stars 8/18/20: NHL Hockey free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-08-18 17:30:00 EDT

The Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames meet Tuesday in game five of the NHL West First Round at the Rogers Place.

The Dallas Stars look for a big victory here to take a 3-2 series lead. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.29 goals per game and are scoring on 15.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Joe Pavelski leads Dallas with five goals, Miro Heiskanen has six assists and John Klingberg has 20 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 73.9 percent of their opponents power plays. Ben Bishop has given up eight goals on 58 shots faced and Anton Khudobin has allowed 14 goals on 151 shots.

The Calgary Flames also have a chance to take a 3-2 series lead with a victory here. The Calgary Flames are averaging 3.63 goals per game and are scoring on 32.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Sam Bennett leads Calgary with five goals, Sean Monahan has six assists and Dillon Dube has 23 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 2.25 goals per game and are killing 85.3 percent of their opponents power plays. Cam Talbot has allowed 18 goals on 269 shots faced.

The Flames are 7-19 in their last 26 playoff games as an underdog, 3-10 in their last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-4 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The Stars are 5-2 in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games, 2-5 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 3-10 in their last 13 overall. The over is 22-10-2 in Flames last 34 vs. Western Conference. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. The Flames are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings.

The Dallas Stars are a team I had little confidence in and wasn’t looking to back, especially with their defensive struggles in the bubble, but they got new life in an overtime win in game four, the type of win that changes the whole feel of a club. I don’t have a strong read in this crucial game five with the series tied, so I’m leaning toward the over instead. Three of the last five meetings between the Stars and Flames have produced six or more goals, and they’re averaging 6.25 goals per game in this series. 

Give me the over five goals.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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