Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/21/21

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 3/21/21 Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Florida Panthers (20-6-4) at Tampa Bay Lightning (22-6-2)

NHL Hockey: Sunday, March 21, 2021 at 4:00 pm (Amalie Arena)

The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -148 / Florida Panthers +128 --- Over/Under: 6.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Florida Panthers and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet in NHL action from the Amalie Arena on Sunday afternoon.

The Florida Panthers will be looking to build on a 2-0 win over Nashville in their last matchup. Jonathan Huberdeau and Aleksander Barkov each lead the Panthers with 35 points, with Huberdeau logging a team-high 24 assists while Barkov leads the Panthers with 13 goals. Patric Hornqvist, Carter Verhaeghe and Aaron Ekblad all have 20+ points with double-digit goal and assist tallies as well this season. As a team, Florida is averaging 3.4 goals per game on 34.3 shots per game with a 26.1% success rate on the PP while allowing 2.8 goals per game on 30.9 shots per game with an 80.5% success rate on the PK this season.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be out to build on their 4-1 win over Chicago last time out. Victor Hedman leads Tampa Bay in scoring with 32 points including a team-high 26 assists while Steven Stamkos has 30 points with a team-high 15 goals and 15 assists. Brayden Point has 28 points and Ondrej Palat has 27 points with each posting double-digit goals and assists this season. As a team, Tampa Bay is averaging 3.6 goals per game on 30.9 shots per game with a 28.9% success rate on the PP while allowing 2.3 goals on 27.6 shots against per game with an 83.8% kill rate on the penalty kill this season.

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Florida is 9-2 in their last 11 road games and 5-16 in their last 21 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 8-1-2 in their last 11 games as an underdog. Tampa Bay is 37-14 in their last 51 games overall and 10-4 in their last 14 games played on no rest while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games. Florida is 3-10 in the last 13 meetings between the two teams and 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Tampa Bay.

This is the game of the day without question for me as you have two teams that have done nothing but win games all year long. With that said, the Panthers haven’t had a ton of luck against their in-state rivals, but as good as the Lightning are, this is a play strictly based on value. You’re giving me a Panthers team that plays better on the road and has won 9 of their last 11 away from home at plus money. I’ll take it. Give me Florida and the plus money in this spot.

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Chris’s Pick Florida +128

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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