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Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/31/2021

Montreal Canadiens (27-24-11) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (38-15-9)
May 31, 2021 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -208 / Montreal Canadiens +175; Over/Under: -5.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in game seven of the NHL North First Round Playoffs at the Scotiabank Arena.

The Montreal Canadiens can make the second round of the playoffs for the first time since the 2014-15 season. The Montreal Canadiens are averaging 1.83 goals per game and are scoring on 11.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Jesperi Kotkaniemi leads Montreal with three goals, Tyler Toffoli has three assists and Josh Anderson has 18 shots on goal. Defensively, the Montreal Canadiens are allowing 2.83 goals per game and are killing 85.7 percent of their opponents power plays. Carey Price has given up 15 goals on 203 shots faced.

The Toronto Maple Leafs can make the second round of the playoffs for the first time since the 2012-13 season. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 2.83 goals per game and are scoring on 14.3 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with four goals, Alexander Kerfoot has five assists and Auston Matthews has 32 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 1.83 goals per game and are killing 88.9 percent of their opponents power plays. Jack Campbell has given up 11 goals on 175 shots faced.

The Canadiens are 7-16 in their last 23 road games and 3-8 in their last 11 overall. The Maple Leafs are 5-2 in their last 7 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 overall. The over is 4-1 in Canadiens last 5 overall. The under is 5-1-1 in Maple Leafs last 7 Monday games. The Canadiens are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Toronto and 2-5 in the last 7 meetings. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The favorite is 26-11 in the last 37 meetings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are the better, more talented team here and they should be favored in a do or die game on their home ice. However, the Montreal Canadiens have all the momentum with two straight overtime wins and an offense that’s woken up from the dead. The Habs also have an experienced goalie in Carey Price who has a 91.8 save percentage in the postseason, now 76 playoff games under his belt and has stood tall in previous game sevens as well. As good as Jack Campbell has been through six games, he’s never faced this sort of pressure in his six-year career. A hot and experienced goalie can often be the deciding factor in these games. I’ll take a shot with the Canadiens and big plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Montreal Canadiens +175

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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