Buffalo Sabres (26-37-11) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (47-19-6)
April 12, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -450 / Buffalo Sabres +380; Over/Under: -6.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Sabres and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet in NHL action from Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night.
The Buffalo Sabres will look to bounce back from a three-game losing skid after a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Lightning last time out. Tage Thompson leads the Sabres in scoring with 58 points including 32 goals while Rasmus Dahlin also has 44 points with a team-high 35 assists and Jeff Skinner has 54 points with 30 goals. Kyle Okposo also has 41 points with 18 goals and 23 apples this season. Craig Anderson has an 14-11-2 record with a 3.13 GAA and an .899 save percentage between the pipes for Buffalo this season.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 3-2 win over Montreal last time out. Auston Matthews leads the Buds in scoring with 99 points including a league-high 58 goals while Mitch Marner has 90 points with 31 goals and 59 assists and John Tavares has 69 points with 26 goals and 43 apples. William Nylander’s also got 68 points with 28 goals and 40 assists. Morgan Rielly also has 51 assists on the year. Jack Campbell’s made the bulk of the starts in goal for Toronto, going 27-9-5 with a 2.72 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.
Buffalo is 33-94 in their last 127 road games and 17-49 in their last 66 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Toronto is 45-20 in their last 65 games overall and 42-16 in their last 58 games as a favorite while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against the Eastern Conference.
I get the reasoning for Toronto being a heavy favorite as the Leafs are the better team. The thing is, and this is coming from a Leafs fan, Toronto has taken the bottom teams in the Atlantic division lightly like Montreal, and it’s come back to bite the Buds. Montreal beat Toronto multiple times, and while Toronto got revenge last time out, it wasn’t a convincing win and there was value goingthe other way on the +1.5 puck line, getting plus money with a one-goal headstart. The Sabres have won the last two meetings against Toronto, and I think there’s value with Buffalo +1.5 here.