NHL

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs 4/16/22 NHL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Toronto Maple Leafs (48-20-6) vs. Ottawa Senators (28-40-6)
April 16, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators +230 / Toronto Maple Leafs -280; Over/Under: -6.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. The Toronto Maple Leafs look for a win after winning 11 of their last 15 games. The Ottawa Senators look for a win after splitting their last 10 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.8 goals per game and are scoring on 29.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 58 goals, Mitchell Marner has 60 assists and William Nylander has 233 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 83.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jack Campbell has given up 116 goals on 1,307 shots faced, and Petr Mrazek has allowed 58 goals on 520 shots.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.7 goals per game and are scoring on 19.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Josh Norris leads Ottawa with 33 goals, Tim Stutzle has 32 assists and Brady Tkachuk has 257 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 79.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anton Forsberg has allowed 103 goals on 1,265 shots faced, and Matt Murray has allowed 60 goals on 640 shots.

The Maple Leafs are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 46-21 in their last 67 overall. The Senators are 4-12 in their last 16 home games and 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic. The over is 35-13-4 in Maple Leafs last 52 overall. The under is 3-1-1 in Senators last 5 overall. The Maple Leafs are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Ottawa.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are clearly the better, more talented team and should be favored here. The Ottawa Senators often look like a team that’s ready for the season to end. However, this is a rivalry game and the Maple Leafs have had trouble winning in Ottawa over the years. Also, the Senators have quietly put together some nice wins over the last two weeks. I’ll take my free goal with the Senators in a matchup they have a chance to hang around.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Ottawa Senators +1.5

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.
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