NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning 12/20/22 NHL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning (20-9-1) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (19-7-6)
December 20, 2022 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -142 / Tampa Bay Lightning +118; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 7 of their last 8 games. The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.6 goals per game and are scoring on 27.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Steven Stamkos leads Tampa Bay with 16 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 35 assists and Brayden Point has 91 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.9 goals per game and are killing 80.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 56 goals on 658 shots faced, and Brian Elliott has allowed 25 goals on 254 shots.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.3 goals per game and are scoring on 23.8 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 18 goals, Mitchell Marner has 25 assists and Auston Matthews has 143 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.4 goals per game and are killing 79.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Erik Kallgren has given up 25 goals on 246 shots faced, and Ilya Samsonov has allowed 23 goals on 323 shots.

The Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 19-7 in their last 26 overall. The Maple Leafs are 42-15 in their last 57 home games and 9-3 in their last 12 overall. The under is 3-1-2 in Lightning last 6 road games. The under is 12-5 in Maple Leafs last 17 home games. The Lightning are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The home team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The favorite is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Both of these teams are on fire right now, and you can make a case for either side. The Toronto Maple Leafs are probably getting the benefit of the doubt because of home ice. However, you’re not going to get the Tampa Bay Lightning in the underdog role often, and it’s certainly not often you get them at these prices when they’re playing the way they are now. The Maple Leafs probably should be favored, but the value is with the Lightning and plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +118

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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