Lightning vs Capitals Pick – NHL Predictions & Odds 3/30/23

The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 3.2 goals per game and are scoring on 21.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Alex Ovechkin leads Washington with 42 goals, Evgeny Kuznetsov has 41 assists and Conor Sheary has 141 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 3.1 goals per game and are killing 83.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Darcy Kuemper has given up 131 goals on 1,466 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 80 goals on 781 shots.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 24.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 47 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 76 assists and Steven Stamkos has 224 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 79.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 148 goals on 1,745 shots faced, and Brian Elliott has allowed 63 goals on 576 shots.

The Capitals are 1-4 in their last 5 road games and 1-4 in their last 5 overall. The Lightning are 39-16 in their last 55 home games and 1-4 in their last 5 overall. The over is 8-0 in Capitals last 8 overall. The over is 5-2 in Lightning last 7 home games. The favorite is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. The home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

The Washington Capitals are playing more and more like a team that’s given up on the season, and them being on the end of a back to back doesn’t help them here. The Tampa Bay Lightning have been a buzz saw at home over the years, and this season is no different. It’s hard to make a case for the Caps in this spot. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.