NHL Picks

Senators vs Maple Leafs Pick – NHL Predictions & Odds 3/18/23

Toronto Maple Leafs (40-18-9) vs. Ottawa Senators (33-31-4)
March 18, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators +124 / Toronto Maple Leafs -154; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 25.6 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 35 goals, Mitchell Marner has 62 assists and Auston Matthews has 254 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 80.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Matt Murray has given up 62 goals on 640 shots faced, and Ilya Samsonov has allowed 79 goals on 946 shots.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 23.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 34 goals, Brady Tkachuk has 41 assists and Alex DeBrincat has 225 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 82.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anton Forsberg has allowed 80 goals on 817 shots faced, and Cam Talbot has given up 83 goals on 874 shots.

The Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 home games and 0-4 in their last 4 overall. The under is 5-2-2 in Maple Leafs last 9 overall. The over is 9-2 in Senators last 11 overall. The Maple Leafs are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The favorite is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are on the end of a back to back, but they’re also a team I trust and have backed a lot this season. The Ottawa Senators just aren’t a good team, and their playoff hopes have pretty much gone and went. The Maple Leafs are still fighting for seeding, and they’re far and away the more talented team, with an offense that can give the Senators defense issues. I’ll lay the reasonable price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -154

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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