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Stars vs Penguins Pick – NHL Predictions & Odds 3/23/23

Pittsburgh Penguins (35-26-10) vs. Dallas Stars (38-19-14)
March 23, 2023 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Stars -156 / Pittsburgh Penguins +126; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Dallas Stars meet Thursday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 3.2 goals per game and are scoring on 21.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Jake Guentzel leads Pittsburgh with 31 goals, Sidney Crosby has 54 assists, and Rickard Rakell has 213 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.2 goals per game and are killing 79.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 111 goals on 1,207 shots faced, and Casey DeSmith has given up 95 goals on 1,018 shots.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are scoring on 23.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 41 goals, Miro Heiskanen has 50 assists and Jamie Benn has 169 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 82.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 133 goal on 1,585 shots faced, and Scott Wedgewood has given up 48 goals on 551 shots.

The Penguins are 6-13 in their last 19 road games and 1-4 in their last 5 overall. The Stars are 2-7 in their last 9 home games and 10-2 in their last 12 Thursday games. The under is 5-2 in Penguins last 7 overall. The over is 10-1-1 in Stars last 12 overall. The Penguins are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas and 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

The Dallas Stars are the better team and should be favored at home, but they’ve also been hit or miss lately, especially on their home ice. The Pittsburgh Penguins have struggles of their own, but they’re also the more desperate team that’s fighting for their playoff lives. We’re getting plus money with a veteran Penguins squad that needs to start piling up points. I’ll take a shot with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins +126

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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