Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction 11/10/26 NHL Picks Today

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction

In this Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -155 road favorites. the Leafs have been terrible lately with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games, having scored just four total goals in their last three games combined. But the Avalanche have been bad on the road this season and are 1-4 in their last 5 road games so I see no value on either side. Both teams are extremely talented offensively, with the Avalanche having the second-best offense in hockey and the Leafs the 5^th-best power play and both average 7.37 goals per game this season, so I expect a high-scoring affair. Take the over 6.5 goals in this one.

The Leafs are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Avalanche but are 1-3 in their last 4 meetings in Toronto. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.

Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

The Maple Leafs have 18 points this season with a 8-9-2 record and a 4-6-1 home record. They are 11-8 ATS and 10-9 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-0 home loss against the Devils and will face the Bruins and Canadiens next.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.37 goals per game with 27.9 shots on goal per game and are scoring 28.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.32 goals per game on 29.6 shots on goal per game and are killing 85.9% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 189 total penalty minutes this season.

Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 27 points, adding a team-high 11 goals with 58 shots on goal and a team-high 16 assists. William Nylander follows with 22 points with 11 goals and 11 assists, while Jack Roslovic adds 18 points with 8 goals and 10 assists and Easton Cowan adds 14 points with 6 goals and 8 assists. Kirill Marchenko adds 14 points with 6 goals and 8 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 3-7-2 record, with 3.34 GAA and .886 SV%. Anthony Stolarz is the backup goalie and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 2.72 GAA and .908 SV%.

Injury Report:

• Colton Sissons — OUT, est. return Nov 10
• Jack Roslovic — OUT, est. return Nov 10
• Morgan Rielly — OUT, est. return Nov 10
• Kirill Marchenko — IR, est. return Nov 17
• Miles Wood — IR-LT, est. return Nov 30

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 22 points this season with a 10-6-2 record and a 3-5-0 road record. They are 8-6 ATS and 12-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-0 home win against the Red Wings and will face the Senators and Predators next.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.00 goals per game with 30.6 shots on goal per game and are scoring 23.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.06 goals per game on 27.2 shots on goal per game and are killing 78.2% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 164 total penalty minutes this season.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 30 points, adding a team-high 20 assists, while Artturi Lehkonen leads the team in goals with 12 with 38 shots on goal and 17 points. Martin Necas follows with 23 points with 9 goals and 14 assists, while Cale Makar adds 21 points with 5 goals and 16 assists and Devon Toews adds 16 points with 5 goals and 11 assists. Mackenzie Blackwood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 9-3-1 record, with 2.60 GAA and .901 SV%. Scott Wedgewood is the backup goalie and he has a 1-3-1 record, with 4.02 GAA and .867 SV%.

Injury Report:

• Josh Manson — OUT, est. return Dec 27
• Zachary L’Heureux — IR-LT, est. return Nov 27

Colorado Avalanche @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: November 10, 2026

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a home win.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Avalanche’s last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as a home underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
• The home team has won the second period in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The road team has won each of the last three games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last three games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven home games following a loss.
• The Avalanche have won the second period in five of their last six games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last four road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 10 road games against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last nine home appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Kirill Marchenko has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against Central Division opponents.
• William Nylander has recorded three assists against the Avalanche this season – most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in four of the Avalanche’s last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded an assist in each of the Avalanche’s last six games against the Maple Leafs.
• Nathan MacKinnon has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 for both power play and penalty kill percentage this season.
• The Colorado Avalanche have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 4+ goals this season (4).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.83).