In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, January 25th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Toronto Maple Leafs Preview
The Maple Leafs have 57 points this season with a 24-18-9 record, and are 23-28 ATS and 30-20 in over/under. They have a 16-7-6 home record and a 8-11-3 road record and are sitting 6th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 6-3 home loss to the Golden Knights, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home overtime loss to the Red Wings, a 6-3 home loss to the Wild, and a 4-3 road overtime win over the Jets.
Offensively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.31 goals per game and are scoring 16.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.35 goals per game and are killing 83.5% of their opponent’s power plays.
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 48 points and 31 assists, while Austin Matthews leads the team in goals with 25. Joseph Woll is the starting goalie for the Maple Leafs, and he has a 11-5-4 record, with 2.85 GAA and .912 SV%. Anthony Stolarz is the backup goalie and he has a 6-6-1 record, with 3.63 GAA and .880 SV%.
Colorado Avalanche Preview
The Avalanche have 77 points this season with a 34-6-9 record, and are 26-23 ATS and 23-26 in over/under. They have a 20-2-4 home record and a 14-4-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 7-3 home loss to the Flyers, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home shootout loss to the Ducks, a 5-2 home win over the Capitals, and a 7-3 home loss to the Predators.
Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.94 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.37 goals per game and are killing 84.4% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 87 points and 38 goals, adding a team-high 49 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 20-3-5 record, with 2.14 GAA and .918 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 13-3-1 record, with 2.49 GAA and .907 SV%.
Colorado Avalanche @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: January 25, 2026
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 11 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Avalanche have lost the second period in seven of their last eight road games when trailing after the first period.
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won 11 of their last 12 games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last six games.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The Avalanche have won the second period in eight of their last nine games following a loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Avalanche’s last five games as road favorites following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last seven games following a home loss.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games against Central Division opponents.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine Sunday day games.
- Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in six of his last seven appearances in day games.
- Auston Matthews is one of only four players in the league to have recorded 3+ shots in 10 or more consecutive appearances this season.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last eight Sunday day games.
- Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (38) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.46%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.31).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.94).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.37).
Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Leafs won 4-3 in overtime in Colorado, but both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -185 road favorites. The Avalanche have been the best team in hockey this season but they are in their biggest slump of the season currently. They are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have been less effective on the road this season, while facing a Leafs team that has been struggling as well, with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games, but have been far better at home. Based on both teams’ recent form, I see no value on either side, but both teams are 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games combined, as both offenses have been elite this season, averaging 7.2 goals per game combined. Take the over 6.5 in this one.