In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Wild Prediction for Game 4 of this NHL Western Conference Semifinal on Monday, May 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Minnesota Wild Preview
The Wild finished the regular season with 104 points with a 46-24-12 record and were placed 3rd in the Central Division. They have a 23-10-8 home record and are coming off a 5-1 home win over the Avalanche. Τheir previous three games were a 2-5 road loss and a 6-9 road loss to the Avalanche, and a 5-2 home win over the Stars.
Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.27 goals per game and are scoring 25.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.87 goals per game and are killing 79.8% of their opponent’s power plays.
Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 89 points and 45 goals, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 48. Filip Gustavsson is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 28-15-6 record, with 2.69 GAA and .904 SV%. Jesper Wallstedt is the backup goalie and he has a 18-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .916 SV%.
Colorado Avalanche Preview
The Avalanche finished the regular season with 121 points with a 55-16-11 record and were placed 1st in the Central Division. They have a 29-7-5 road record and are coming off a 1-5 road loss to the Wild. Their previous three games were a 5-2 home win and a 9-6 home win over the Wild, and a 5-1 road win over the Kings.
Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.63 goals per game and are scoring 17.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.40 goals per game and are killing 84.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 127 points and 53 goals, adding a team-high 74 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 31-6-6 record, with 2.02 GAA and .921 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 23-10-2 record, with 2.51 GAA and .904 SV%.
Colorado Avalanche @ Minnesota Wild Betting Trends: May 11, 2026
Why the Minnesota Wild will win
- The Wild have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs.
- The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games at Grand Casino Arena.
- The Wild have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 16 games as home underdogs.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Grand Casino Arena.
- The home team has won the first period in each of the Wild’s last four games.
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won 10 of their last 11 road games.
- The Wild have lost six of their last seven Game 4s of a playoff series.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games.
- The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four home games following a home win.
- The favorites have won the third period in 10 of the Avalanche’s last 11 games at Grand Casino Arena.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Wild’s last eight games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Five of the Avalanche’s last six road games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the last six night games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last 11 games following a win.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Avalanche’s last nine games against Central Division opponents.
Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts
- Matthew Boldy has scored the last goal in each of the Wild’s last three home games.
- Matthew Boldy has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances in home games.
- Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Wild as underdogs.
- Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against the Wild.
- Nathan MacKinnon has scored a goal in each of the Avalanche’s last seven playoff games against Central Division opponents.
- Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (53) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Wild rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.19%).
- The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.63).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.40).
Avalanche vs Wild Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Wild are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Their last four meetings in Minnesota have gone under the total.
In this Avalanche vs Wild Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -130 road favorites. The Wild won game 3 to cut the Avalanche lead to 2-1 wins and held them into just one goal, after having conceded a total of 14 in the first two games. The Wild bring another defensive intensity at home ice, as they allow just 2.2 goals per game at home in the playoffs, so I expect a low-scoring affair today as we get deeper into the series. Take the under 6.5.