In this article, we will formulate a Blackhawks vs Avalanche Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Colorado Avalanche Preview
The Avalanche have 85 points this season with a 38-10-9 record, and are 30-27 ATS and 27-30 in over/under. They have a 21-4-4 home record and a 17-6-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 5-2 home loss to the Wild, and their previous three games were a 4-2 road win over the Mammoth, a 4-2 home win over the Sharks, and a 2-0 home loss to the Red Wings.
Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.81 goals per game and are scoring 15.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.46 goals per game and are killing 83.9% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 95 points and 40 goals, adding a team-high 55 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 21-4-5 record, with 2.29 GAA and .913 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 16-6-1 record, with 2.29 GAA and .916 SV%.
Chicago Blackhawks Preview
The Blackhawks have 53 points this season with a 22-27-9 record, and are 36-22 ATS and 25-32 in over/under. They have a 12-14-5 home record and a 10-13-4 road record and are sitting 7th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-2 road loss to the Predators, and their previous three games were a 4-0 road loss to the Blue Jackets, a 6-3 home win over the Sharks, and a 4-2 home loss to the Blue Jackets.
Offensively, the Blackhawks are averaging 2.64 goals per game and are scoring 19.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.17 goals per game and are killing 85.2% of their opponent’s power plays.
Connor Bedard leads the Blackhawks with 54 points and 24 goals, adding a team-high 30 assists. Spencer Knight is the starting goalie for the Blackhawks, and he has a 16-17-7 record, with 2.63 GAA and .907 SV%. Arvid Soderblom is the backup goalie and he has a 5-9-2 record, with 3.89 GAA and .874 SV%.
Chicago Blackhawks @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won each of their last 14 day games at Ball Arena following a loss.
- The Blackhawks have lost 16 of their last 17 day games against Central Division opponents.
- The Blackhawks have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against the Blackhawks.
- The Blackhawks have lost the second period in each of their last eight games at Ball Arena when trailing after the first period.
Why the Chicago Blackhawks will win
- The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
- The Blackhawks have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
- The Blackhawks have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four day games against Central Division opponents.
- The Blackhawks have won the second period in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents when tied after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Ten of the last 11 games between the Blackhawks and Avalanche have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the last seven day games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Five of the Blackhawks’ last six day games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last nine Saturday day games at Ball Arena.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Blackhawks’ last five road games.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Gabriel Landeskog has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances against Western Conference opponents.
- Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in each of his last 11 Saturday appearances against Western Conference opponents.
- Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (40) this season.
Chicago Blackhawks Player Prop Facts
- Connor Bedard has scored a goal in four of the Blackhawks’ last five games.
- Artyom Levshunov has recorded at least one assist in each of the Blackhawks’ last four day games.
- Connor Murphy has recorded 94 career hits against the Avalanche – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.81).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.46).
- The Chicago Blackhawks rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.23%).
- The Chicago Blackhawks rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.64).
Blackhawks vs Avalanche Prediction
The Blackhawks vs Avalanche won their previous meeting against the Blackhawks this season by 1-0 on the road and are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Blackhawks vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -350 home favorites. The Avalanche have been the best team in hockey this season but have been struggling lately with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games and came back from the break with a 2-5 home defeat by Minnesota. The Blackhawks have also been struggling, with a 1-7 record in their last 8 games, so I see no value on either side. Both offenses have been struggling lately, as the Avalanche average just 2.8 goals per game in their last 10 games, while the Blackhawks have scored two goals or less in six of their last eight games. The total it set at 6.5 goals for this game and I don’t expect seven goals to be scored. Take the under.