In this article, we will formulate a Bruins vs Sabres Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, December 27th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 40 points this season with a 18-14-4 record, and are 17-19 ATS and 16-18 in over/under. They have a 11-5-2 home record and a 7-9-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road overtime win over the Senators, and their previous three games were a 3-1 road win against the Devils, a 3-2 home shootout win against the Islanders, and a 5-3 home win against the Flyers.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.03 goals per game and are scoring 20.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.25 goals per game and are killing 84.5% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 32 points and 18 goals, while Rasmus Dahlin leads the team in assists with 24. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 9-6-3 record, with 2.87 GAA and .907 SV%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the backup goalie and he has a 5-5-1 record, with 2.73 GAA and .892 SV%.
Boston Bruins Preview
The Bruins have 41 points this season with a 20-17-1 record, and are 25-13 ATS and 22-16 in over/under. They have a 12-8-1 home record and a 8-9-0 road record and are sitting 6th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 2-6 home loss to the Canadiens, and their previous three games were a 2-6 home loss against the Senators, a 4-5 home shootout loss against the Canucks, and a 1-3 home loss against the Oilers.
Offensively, the Bruins are averaging 3.16 goals per game and are scoring 25.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 79.2% of their opponent’s power plays.
David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 40 points and 26 assists, while Morgan Geekie leads the team in goals with 25. Jeremy Swayman is the starting goalie for the Bruins, and he has a 14-10-1 record, with 2.91 GAA and .901 SV%. Joonas Korpisalo is the backup goalie and he has a 6-7-0 record, with 3.63 GAA and .880 SV%.
Boston Bruins @ Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends: December 27, 2025
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won each of their last nine games following a road win.
- The Bruins have lost 15 of their last 17 night games following a home loss.
- The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Bruins’ last eight games at KeyBank Center.
- The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games.
- The favorites have won the second period in each of the Bruins’ last six games at KeyBank Center.
Why the Boston Bruins will win
- The Bruins have won 12 of their last 13 road games against the Sabres following a loss.
- The Sabres have lost five of their last six games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games against the Sabres following a loss.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Bruins have won the first period in each of their last six night games against the Sabres following a loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Bruins’ last seven games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Sabres’ last six games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the last five games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 11 games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Owen Power has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last four home games against the Bruins.
- Tage Thompson has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last five games as favorites.
- Tage Thompson has recorded seven hits against the Bruins this season – most against any opponent.
Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts
- David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with the Bruins as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last six night games at KeyBank Center.
- Morgan Geekie ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (26.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.47%).
- The Buffalo Sabres have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 2+ goals this season (14).
- The Boston Bruins rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.44%).
- The Boston Bruins rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (522).
Bruins vs Sabres Prediction
The Bruins have won both meetings against the Sabres this season, both at home, by 3-1 and 4-3 in overtime. Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Bruins vs Sabres Prediction, the Sabres are coming as -155 home favorites. The Bruins have been the better team for the most part of the season, but they have been struggling lately with four consecutive losses and are facing a red-hot Sabres squad that has won seven straight games and has been very strong at home. Buffalo is playing elite defense during this winning streak and I expect them to take care of business at home against a struggling Boston team. Take the Sabres on the moneyline.