Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins prediction 11-14-23 NHL Picks

Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins prediction 11-14-23 NHL Picks player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

As the Boston Bruins and Buffalo Sabres prepare to face off at the KeyBank Center, anticipation runs high. The Bruins, dominating the Atlantic with an 11-1-2 record, are showcasing their depth talent. Meanwhile, the Sabres, holding a 7-7-1 record, are eager to climb from their 7th place standing in the Atlantic Division. The Bruins are aiming to fortify their top position and the Sabres are striving to ascend, making this game an important earlier season division battle for both.

A Powerhouse on Ice

The Boston Bruins enter this clash as a true force in the NHL. With an impressive 11-1-2 record, they sit comfortably at the top of the Atlantic Division. Their offensive strength is evident, ranking 15th in goals for, with 45. A significant contributor to this offensive juggernaut is David Pastrnak, who leads the team in goals (10), assists (11), and points (21), showcasing his all-around skill and importance to the Bruins' strategy. His shooting accuracy, with a .152 shooting percentage from 66 shots on goal, underlines his efficiency and threat in front of the net.

Defensively, the Bruins are equally formidable. They rank 2nd in goals against, having conceded only 28 goals, indicating a robust defensive structure. This defensive strength is complemented by their impressive goaltending duo of Jeremy Swayman and Linus Ullmark. Swayman, with a stunning .944 save percentage and a 1.69 goals-against average, has been a wall between the pipes. Ullmark's .926 save percentage and 2.26 GAA also provides the Bruins with reliability and depth in goal. Their penalty kill percentage stands at an elite 90.9%, second in the league, underscoring their disciplined and effective defensive play.

Special teams have played a critical role in the Bruins' success. Their power play efficiency, though ranked 14th at 21.3%, has been a crucial element in their offensive arsenal. However, it's the penalty kill where they truly excel, allowing them minimal vulnerability when down a player. The recent performance of the Bruins, despite a few injuries, demonstrates their depth and ability to maintain high-level play. Players like Brad Marchand, Charlie Coyle, and James van Riemsdyk have stepped up, contributing crucial points and maintaining the team's balanced attack. 

Striving for Balance

The Buffalo Sabres, standing 7th in the Atlantic Division with a 7-7-1 record, are set to challenge the Bruins in what promises to be a gritty showdown. Despite their middle-of-the-pack standing, the Sabres have shown flashes of brilliance this season. They rank 16th in goals for, having netted 44 goals, indicative of a team that can be offensively potent. Jeff Skinner has been a key figure in their attack, leading the team with 7 goals and 6 assists, totaling 13 points. His performance, alongside Casey Mittelstadt (12 points) and Tage Thompson (12 points), forms the backbone of the Sabres' offensive efforts. However, Skinner's -2 plus/minus rating and the team's overall goals against, standing at 47 (20th in the league), point to defensive vulnerabilities that need addressing.

Buffalo's goaltending has been a mixed bag this season. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen and Devon Levi have shared duties in the net, with Luukkonen posting a 3.09 GAA and a .903 SV%, alongside one shutout. Levi, with a 3.17 GAA and a .896 SV%, has also shown potential but lacks consistency. This goaltending scenario reflects the team's overall fluctuating performance. The Sabres have also struggled with their power play, ranking 28th at a low 11.1% efficiency. This aspect of their game needs significant improvement, especially against a team like Boston, which excels in penalty killing.

However, the Sabres have demonstrated resilience in their recent games. Their 3-2 win against Minnesota showcased their ability to grind out results. Conversely, their 4-0 loss to Pittsburgh highlighted the challenges they face against top-tier teams. Buffalo's defensive game, particularly their penalty kill, which ranks 10th with an 84.5% effectiveness, shows they have the capability to withstand pressure. This defensive resilience will be crucial against the high-scoring Bruins. 

David's Pick: Boston Bruins (-185)

In this face-off between the Bruins and the Sabres, my pick is decisively the Boston Bruins. Their remarkable record, coupled with a formidable defensive stance led by Jeremy Swayman and an offense spearheaded by David Pastrnak, positions them as the clear favorites. Despite the Sabres' potential for offensive flair, Boston's consistent performance and robust penalty kill are likely to overpower Buffalo's sporadic play. The Bruins' depth, even in the face of key injuries, and their ability to execute under pressure make them the more probable victors in this matchup.


David Brown's Free Pick:Boston Bruins (-185)