In this article we will formulate a Canadiens vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 10th at the Bell Centre in Montreal, Quebec. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview
The Montreal Canadiens are 34-18-10 this season after they defeated the Kings by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Montreal trailed 3-2 in the third period, but they scored two goals in the last six minutes to escape with the win. The Canadiens were out shot by a total of 39-23, won 51.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Montreal got goals from Evans, Slafkovsky (2), and Suzuki, while Dobes stopped 36 out of 39 shots, which was a .923 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Montreal lost to the Ducks by a score of 6-5 and the Sharks by a score of 7-5. The Canadiens have lost three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 78 points. Montreal has scored 3.55 goals per game and they have allowed 3.29 goals against per game, while also going 25.1% on the power play and 76.6% on the penalty kill this season. Nick Suzuki has led Montreal with 21 goals and 53 assists, while Lane Hutson has added 11 goals and 53 assists. The projected starting goalie for Montreal is Jakub Dobes, who is 20-6-4 with a 3.03 goals against average and an .891 save percentage this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 27-26-11 this year after they lost to the Lightning by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto led 1-0 in the first period, but they allowed the next five goals for the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 33-29, won 58.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Maccelli and Robertson, while Stolarz stopped 28 out of 32 shots, which was an .875 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Rangers by a score of 6-2 and the Devils by a score of 4-3. The Maple Leafs have lost seven games in a row and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 65 points. Toronto has scored 3.14 goals per game and they have allowed 3.48 goals against per game, while also going 19.3% on the power play and 82.8% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with 21 goals and 38 assists, while Auston Matthews has added 26 goals and 26 assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 13-10-4 with a 3.13 goals against average and a .904 save percentage this year.
Why the Montreal Canadiens will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 10 night games following a loss.
- The Canadiens have won each of their last four games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Canadiens have won the third period in each of their last six night games against opponents on a losing streak.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The underdogs have won five of the Canadiens’ last six games.
- The Canadiens have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in 15 of the Canadiens’ last 16 games.
- The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
- The Canadiens have lost the third period in each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Canadiens’ last five games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Four of the last five games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games following a home loss.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 10 home games.
Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts
- Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in each of the Canadiens’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in 11 of the Canadiens’ last 12 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Cole Caufield ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (37) this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Matias Maccelli has scored the first goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.
- Matias Maccelli has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.
- Auston Matthews has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Matias Maccelli has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Montreal Canadiens rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.55).
- The Montreal Canadiens rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.62%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.48).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.82%).
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs Prediction
Toronto comes into this matchup on a seven game losing streak and they have allowed at least five goals in three of their last five. The Maple Leafs are 11-15-4 on the road this year, while the Canadiens are 17-11-2 at home. Montreal has split their last four games, but they have allowed six goals or more in two of their last three. I am not a fan of either defense in this contest and both sides have significant scoring ability, so I will back the over here.