Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 10/11/25 NHL Picks Today

The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche meet Saturday in NHL action from the Ball Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to build on their 5-4 win over the Winnipeg Jets from their season opener to start the year 1-0. After this game, Dallas will head home for a game against the Minnesota Wild. 

Stars Win Wild One In Opener

Mikko Rantanen opened the scoring for Dallas just 3:15 into the game but Winnipeg would equalize just 3:04 later before Nile Lundkvist would restore Dallas’ lead with just under five minutes to go in the opening frame. The 2-1 lead would hold through the second period and into the third where Jason Robertson and Tyler Seguin would score :34 apart to push the lead to 4-1 and Wyatt Johnston added another 1:48 later to make it 5-1. Winnipeg would make things interesting with three unanswered goals later in the third, but that’s as close as they would get as Dallas would slam the door shut in the end for the W. Jake Oettinger got the win for the Stars after stopping 21 of the 25 shots faced in the winning effort to improve to 1-0 on the year. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Avalanche have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a home win.
• The Stars have won four of their last six games as underdogs against the Avalanche.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 12 games against opponents on a winning streak.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six appearances in night games at Ball Arena.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games at Ball Arena.
• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four games.

Colorado Avalanche Recap

The Colorado Avalanche come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Utah Mammoth by a final score of 2-1 last time out to improve to 2-0 on the year. After this game, Colorado will head on the road for a game against the Buffalo Sabres.

Avalanche Looking To Remain Unbeaten

Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar each have a team-high 3 points with Necas logging 2 goals, MacKinnon adding 2 assists and Makar chipping in a team-high 3 assists. Artturi Lehkonen has added a goal and an assist for his 2 points while Victor Olofsson, Jack Drury and Brock Nelson each have an assist and Sam Malinski and Ross Colton have each chipped in a goal so far this season. Scott Wedgewood has gone 2-0 so far in goal for the Avalanche with a 1.00 GAA and a .966 save percentage this season.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won eight of their last nine night games at Ball Arena following a win.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five games.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games.
• The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Stars and Avalanche.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in eight of the Avalanche’s last nine games against Central Division opponents.
• Brock Nelson has recorded at least one assist in six of his last seven home appearances against the Stars.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one point in 29 of his last 30 appearances in home games.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Avalanche’s last nine home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight night games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six night games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction

I’m on the Avalanche here. I just think it’s a solid spot for the Avalanche in a revenge spot and the Avs, especially Nathan MacKinnon, were not happy with how their playoff run ended last season and I think the Avs come out for blood once again here. The Stars got the win in their opener, but if I’m being honest, I wasn’t impressed with the defensive showing late in that game as Dallas almost gave it away and I think the Avs get it done at home here. Give me Colorado.