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Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5-17-24 Picks

Dallas Stars (59-25-10) vs. Colorado Avalanche (56-29-7)
May 17, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Avalanche -118 / Dallas Stars +105; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche meet Wednesday in Game 6 Western Conference NHL Playoffs Second Round action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction.

Game Five Recap: Avs Stay Alive

The Colorado Avalanche managed to live to fight another day after forcing a game six with a 5-3 win in game five. Joe Pavelski opened the scoring for the Stars just past the nine-minute mark of the opening frame before Artturi Lehkonen tied the game at one for Colorado with less than one second to go in the first. Miro Heiskanen would restore the lead for Dallas on the power play just after the midway point of the second, but Cale Makar would tie the game again for Colorado at two with 2:36 to go in the middle frame. Casey Mittelstadt gave Colorado their first lead of the game just 1:12 into the 3rd and Makar doubled the lead with his second goal of the game just 3:16 later. Logan Stankoven would cut the deficit back to 4-3 just 1:16 later, but that’s as close as Dallas would get as Nathan MacKinnon would restore the two-goal cushion with 3:10 to go to seal the deal. Alexandar Georgiev got the win for Colorado in goal after stopping 23 of 26 shots faced in the victory while Jake Oettinger ended up with the loss after allowing all 5 goals on 27 shots faced in the defeat.

Dallas Stars Player Stats

Jason Robertson leads the Stars in scoring with 80 points including a team-high 51 assists while Joe Pavelski has 67 points with 27 goals and 40 assists. Roope Hintz has 65 points with 30 goals of his own and 35 assists and Matt Duchene has 65 points with 40 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 65 points with a team-high 32 goals and 33 assists. Jake Oettinger has posted an 35-14-4 record in goal for Dallas with a 2.72 GAA and a .905 save percentage while Scott Wedgewood is 16-7-5 with a 2.85 GAA and an .899 save percentage.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Avalanche have lost three of their last four games.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The road team has won the third period in each of the Avalanche’s last six games.

Colorado Avalanche Player Stats

Nathan MacKinnon has 140 points with a team-high 51 goals and 89 assists while Cale Makar has 90 points with 69 assists. Mikko Rantanen has 104 points with 42 goals and 62 assists and Jonathan Drouin has 56 points split between 19 goals and 37 assists this season. Alexandar Georgiev has started 63 games for Colorado, going 38-18-5 with a 3.02 GAA and an .897 save percentage this season while Justus Annunen is 8-4-1 with a 2.25 GAA and a .928 save percentage this season.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won each of their last seven night games at Ball Arena following a road win.
  • The Stars have lost each of their last three Game 6s of a playoff series.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games at Ball Arena following a road win.
  • The Avalanche have won the first period in six of their last seven night games at Ball Arena following a road win.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m leaning towards Colorado here. The Avs for me have just been too good of a team to get blown out in the series and just when I gave Dallas the benefit of the doubt, the Avs come through and decide to wake from their slumber. Like we’ve seen teams say in the NBA, don’t let them get one. A team with plenty of experience like Colorado is more than well-versed in playoff hockey to get themselves back into the series and I think this one’s headed for game seven. It just feels right. Give me the Avs here to force game 7.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Colorado -118

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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