Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction 11-17-23 NHL Picks

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction 11-17-23 NHL Picks player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

In a clash that promises to ignite the ice, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Detroit Red Wings are set to face off in a thrilling NHL showdown. With both teams sporting identical records of 8-5-2 this season, this matchup is crucial for asserting a better standing in the Atlantic Division. The stage is set for a battle of wills, and hockey fans worldwide are in for a treat as these two teams collide in Stockholm, Sweden.

The Maple Leafs' Offensive Prowess

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this matchup with a record of 8-5-2. In their most recent outing, they showcased their offensive prowess by defeating the Vancouver Canucks with a convincing 5-2 scoreline. This victory underscored their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, a vital component of their game plan.

When assessing the team leaders for the Maple Leafs, it's impossible to ignore the dynamic duo of Auston Matthews and William Nylander. Matthews, with an impressive 13 goals, has been a goal-scoring machine for Toronto. Nylander, on the other hand, has been the primary playmaker, racking up 12 assists. Their combined efforts have propelled the team to an average of 3.53 goals per game, a testament to their offensive proficiency.

In terms of defensive metrics, the Maple Leafs have conceded an average of 3.53 goals per game. While there is room for improvement in this area, their power play and penalty kill percentages are notable. With a power play conversion rate of 28.3%, they can strike fear into opponents when given the man advantage. However, their penalty kill sits at 72.0%, suggesting an area where they need to maintain discipline. In the goaltending department, Joseph Woll boasts a respectable .908 save percentage and a goals-against average (GAA) of 2.91, while Ilya Samsonov provides valuable depth with a .870 save percentage and a 3.79 GAA. 

Red Wings' Defensive Resilience

The Detroit Red Wings enter this contest with an identical record of 8-5-2, demonstrating their competitiveness in the Atlantic Division. In their most recent game, they secured a thrilling 5-4 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets, highlighting their ability to grind out close games and secure crucial wins.

Examining the team leaders for the Red Wings, it's evident that Dylan Larkin and Alex DeBrincat have been instrumental in their success. Larkin, with 17 points, including 5 goals and 12 assists, leads the team in scoring. DeBrincat has been a potent goal scorer, notching 10 goals, three of which came on the power play. These offensive contributions have propelled Detroit to an average of 3.67 goals per game.

Defensively, the Red Wings have been sturdy, conceding an average of 3.27 goals per game. Goaltender Ville Husso has been a standout performer with a .885 save percentage and a 3.61 GAA. James Reimer provides valuable backup with a .933 save percentage and an impressive 1.80 GAA, including one shutout. Detroit's penalty kill percentage of 78.9% showcases their ability to fend off opponents during power plays. The team's commitment to disciplined play is reflected in their 167 penalty minutes, indicating that they avoid unnecessary time in the sin bin.

David’s Pick - Toronto Maple Leafs -135

My pick for this game is the Toronto Maple Leafs. The key factor influencing this choice is Toronto's offensive firepower, led by Auston Matthews and William Nylander, who have a combined 23 goals and 24 assists this season. The Maple Leafs' power play success at 28.3% also gives them an edge. Moreover, the Red Wings, while strong defensively, have faced challenges in scoring consistently, with Alex DeBrincat leading the team with 10 goals. Toronto's ability to capitalize on power plays and maintain offensive pressure should lead them to victory in this closely contested matchup.

Furthermore, Toronto's ability to convert on power plays, coupled with Detroit's penalty kill at 78.9%, presents an opportunity for the Maple Leafs to capitalize on special teams. In a game where both teams possess similar records, the Maple Leafs' offensive prowess and power play proficiency is the difference maker in taking the Maple Leafs to win. However, Detroit's defensive resilience and goaltending could make this matchup a close and exciting contest.

David Brown's Free Pick:Toronto Maple Leafs -135