In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Lightning Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, October 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning have 2 points this season with a 1-1-0 record, and are 1-1 ATS and 1-1 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-1 home win over the Capitals and will face the Wild and Islanders next.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 2.00 goals per game and are scoring 0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game and are killing 75% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 2 points and a team-high one goal, while Brandon Hagel leads the team in assists with 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 2.59 GAA and .889 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers Preview
The Flyers have 2 points this season with a 0-1-2 record, and are 2-1 ATS and 1-2 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-2 home overtime loss to the Hurricanes and will face the Senators and Bruins next.
Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 1.33 goals per game and are scoring 0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 4.33 goals per game and are killing 66.7% of their opponent’s power plays.
Travis Sanheim leads the Flyers with 2 points and a team-high one goal, while Travis Konecny leads the team in assists with 2. Joseph Woll is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 0-0-2 record, with 2.87 GAA and .929 SV%. Dan Vladar is the backup goalie and he has a 0-1-0 record, with 7.04 GAA and .816 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: October 5, 2026
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Flyers have lost each of their last seven games.
- The Lightning have won 14 of their last 16 games against the Flyers following a win.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against the Flyers.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at Benchmark International Arena.
- The Lightning have won the second period in eight of their last nine home games when trailing after the first period.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Flyers have won 13 of their last 19 games as road underdogs.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine home games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in 12 of the Lightning’s last 13 games.
- The Lightning have lost the first period in four of their last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Flyers’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last six games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Nine of the last 10 Monday night games between two teams from the Eastern Conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 12 of the Lightning’s last 13 night games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Flyers.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Flyers at Benchmark International Arena.
- Nikita Kucherov ranked T1st in the league for multi-assist games (25) last season.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Porter Martone has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Porter Martone has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning ranked 3rd in the league for goals against per game last season (2.79).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning ranked 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage last season (82.56%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers ranked 32nd in the league in power play percentage last season (15.74%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-longest road winning streak (8 games) in the NHL last season.
Flyers vs Lightning Prediction
The Lightning are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Flyers and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Tampa.
In this Flyers vs Lightning Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -190 home favorites. The Flyers have not been looking good so far this season, having lost all of their three games played and their offense has been an issue, as they score just 1.3 goals per game and have failed to score a single power play goal so far. The Lightning are coming off their first win of the season and will be playing their second straight game at home. They have also been dominating the Flyers in recent years, so I expect them to get the job done at home and get away with the victory. Take the Lightning on the moneyline.