In this article, we will formulate a Flyers vs Sabres Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 18th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 32 points this season with a 14-14-4 record, and are 14-18 ATS and 15-15 in over/under. They have a 9-5-2 home record and a 5-9-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-1 road win over the Kraken, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road win against the Canucks, a 4-3 road overtime win against the Oilers, and a 4-7 road loss against the Flames.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.00 goals per game and are scoring 20.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.41 goals per game and are killing 84.9% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 29 points and 16 goals, while Rasmus Dahlin leads the team in assists with 22. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 6-6-3 record, with 2.99 GAA and .905 SV%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the backup goalie and he has a 4-5-1 record, with 2.91 GAA and .884 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers Preview
The Flyers have 40 points this season with a 17-9-6 record, and are 21-11 ATS and 15-16 in over/under. They have a 10-5-4 home record and a 7-4-2 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 4-1 road win over the Canadiens, and their previous three games were a 2-3 road shootout loss against the Hurricanes, a 3-4 home shootout loss against the Hurricanes, and a 2-3 home overtime loss against the Golden Knights.
Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.84 goals per game and are scoring 15.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.72 goals per game and are killing 81.8% of their opponent’s power plays.
Trevor Zegras leads the Flyers with 33 points and 14 goals, also leading the team in assists with 19. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 12-5-3 record, with 2.41 GAA and .910 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 5-3-3 record, with 2.96 GAA and .870 SV%.
Philadelphia Flyers @ Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends: December 18, 2025
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won each of their last seven games following a road win.
- The Flyers have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games at KeyBank Center following a road win.
- The home team has won the first period in each of the last five games between the Flyers and Sabres.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Flyers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Sabres have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have won the second period in each of their last four night games against the Sabres when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Sabres’ last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Flyers’ last four night games against the Sabres following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Flyers and Sabres.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Tage Thompson has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last four games.
- Joshua Norris has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in each of the Flyers’ last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Trevor Zegras has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.95%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.41).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.72).
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.91%).
Flyers vs Sabres Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Flyers won 5-2 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Sabres. Their last four meetings have gone over the total.
In this Flyers vs Sabres Prediction, the Sabres are coming as -133 home favorites. The Flyers have been the better team this season, having 8 more points than the Sabres this season, but the Sabres have been playing their best hockey at home, where they have 9 of their 14 wins. They have three straight wins, while the Flyers are 1-3 in their last 4 games and will be playing their third straight game on the road. Buffalo has a better offense and both a better power play and penalty kill, so I like them as home favorites in this spot. Take the Sabres on the moneyline at home in this one.