In this article, we will formulate a Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction for this NHL game on Friday, October 23rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Colorado Avalanche Preview
The Avalanche have 11 points this season with a 5-4-1 record and a 3-1-1 home record. They are 5-5 ATS and 6-4 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 road loss against the Devils and will face the Predators and Devils next.
Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 4.10 goals per game and are scoring 18.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game and are killing 82.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 16 points, adding a team-high 10 assists, while Artturi Lehkonen leads the team in goals with 8. Mackenzie Blackwood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 4-3-0 record, with 2.90 GAA and .889 SV%. Scott Wedgewood is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-1 record, with 2.65 GAA and .912 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning have 14 points this season with a 7-2-0 record and a 2-2-0 road record. They are 4-5 ATS and 4-5 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-2 road win against the Golden Knights and will face the Mammoth and Jets next.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.44 goals per game and are scoring 12.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.56 goals per game and are killing 79.2% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 13 points, adding a team-high 9 assists, while Brandon Hagel leads the team in goals with 7. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 2.46 GAA and .898 SV%. Dennis Hildeby is the backup goalie and he has a 2-0-0 record, with 2.01 GAA and .920 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: October 23, 2026
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won six of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Lightning have lost four of their last five games following a road win.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight Friday night games.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games following a road loss.
- The Lightning have lost the second period in each of their last six games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Avalanche have lost five of their last six games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Lightning have won seven of their last eight games.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight road games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Lightning’s last six games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Avalanche’s last nine home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 11 games as favorites against the Lightning.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight night games.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in six of the Avalanche’s last seven home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight home appearances against the Lightning.
- Artturi Lehkonen ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (3) this season.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Cirelli has scored a goal in six of the Lightning’s last seven games against the Avalanche.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games as underdogs.
- Conor Geekie has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 66.7% against the Avalanche (min. 5 faceoffs) – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (4.10).
- The Colorado Avalanche have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 4+ goals this season (3).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of three teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 28th in the league in power play percentage this season (12.90%).
Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction
The Lightning are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Avalanche and are 3-2 in their last 5 visits in Colorado.
In this Lightning vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -125 home favorites. The Lightning have been scorching-hot with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games, coming off a huge 6-2 road win in Vegas and I am not willing to step in front of that train. They also have an excellent history against the Avs in recent years and have a better defense this season, so I like them as road dogs in this spot against a struggling Avalanche team that is 1-3 in its last 4 games. Take the Lightning on the moneyline for plus money.