In this article, we will formulate a Lightning vs Ducks Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, December 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Anaheim Ducks Preview
The Ducks have 44 points this season with a 21-16-2 record, and are 22-18 ATS and 24-15 in over/under. They have a 12-7-0 home record and a 9-9-2 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 5-4 home win over the Sharks, and their previous three games were a 1-6 road loss against the Kings, a 1-3 home loss against the Kraken, and a 4-3 home win against the Blue Jackets.
Offensively, the Ducks are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring 16.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.51 goals per game and are killing 75.8% of their opponent’s power plays.
Leo Carlsson leads the Ducks with 42 points and 17 goals, while Troy Terry leads the team in assists with 26. Lukas Dostal is the starting goalie for the Ducks, and he has a 13-9-1 record, with 3.12 GAA and .889 SV%. Petr Mrazek is the backup goalie and he has a 3-4-0 record, with 3.78 GAA and .865 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning have 47 points this season with a 22-13-3 record, and are 19-19 ATS and 18-19 in over/under. They have a 11-9-0 home record and a 11-4-3 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 5-4 home shootout win over the Canadiens, and their previous three games were a 4-2 road win against the Panthers, a 4-1 home win against the Blues, and a 6-4 home win against the Hurricanes.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring 17.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.63 goals per game and are killing 85.3% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 49 points and 17 goals, while Victor Hedman also leads the team in assists with 32. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 13-7-2 record, with 2.30 GAA and .915 SV%. Jonas Johansson is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-1 record, with 2.82 GAA and .896 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Anaheim Ducks Betting Trends: December 31, 2025
Why the Anaheim Ducks will win
- The Ducks have won each of their last nine home games following a home loss.
- The Lightning have lost each of their last two games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Ducks have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 15 games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Honda Center following a win.
- The Ducks have won the third period in each of their last four games against the Lightning.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Ducks have lost six of their last seven day games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Ducks have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Lightning have won the second period in each of their last six games against the Ducks.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Ducks’ last six home games following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last seven Wednesday games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the last five Wednesday games at Honda Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Ducks’ last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine Wednesday games.
Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts
- Troy Terry has scored a goal in each of the Ducks’ last three games against the Lightning.
- Leo Carlsson has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Ducks’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Mason McTavish has recorded two blocks against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
- Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in 11 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a road favorite against Pacific Division opponents.
- Anthony Cirelli has scored two goals against the Ducks this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Anaheim Ducks rank 32nd in the league for goals against per game this season (3.51).
- The Anaheim Ducks rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.33).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.27%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
Lightning vs Ducks Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Lightning won 4-3 at home and are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Ducks.
In this Lightning vs Ducks Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -144 road favorites. The Lightning have three more points this season and have been in very good form lately, as they have won their last four games and are 3-1 in their last four on the road. On the flip side, the Ducks are slumping with a 2-7 record in their last 9 games and have an inferior defense than the Lightning this season and weaker power play, penalty kill and goaltending. The value here lies with the better and hotter road team, so take the Lightning on the moneyline in this one.