In this article, we will formulate a Lightning vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, January 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers Preview
The Flyers have 52 points this season with a 22-12-8 record, and are 27-15 ATS and 23-19 in over/under. They have a 12-5-5 home record and a 10-7-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-1 home overtime loss to the Maple Leafs, and their previous three games were a 5-2 home win over the Ducks, a 5-2 road win over the Oilers, and a 5-1 road loss to the Flames.
Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.98 goals per game and are scoring 15.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 80.5% of their opponent’s power plays.
Trevor Zegras leads the Flyers with 41 points, also leading the team in goals with 17, adding a team-high 24 assists. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 16-6-4 record, with 2.35 GAA and .910 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 6-5-4 record, with 3.09 GAA and .868 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning have 55 points this season with a 26-13-3 record, and are 22-20 ATS and 22-20 in over/under. They have a 12-9 home record and a 14-4-3 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Avalanche, and their previous three games were a 7-3 road win over the Sharks, a 5-3 road win over the Kings, and a 4-3 road overtime win over the Ducks.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 20.0% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.64 goals per game and are killing 83.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 61 points, also leading the team in assists with 41, while Nikita Kucherov also leads the team in goals with 20. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 17-7-2 record, with 2.34 GAA and .914 SV%. Jonas Johansson is the backup goalie and he has a 9-6-1 record, with 2.83 GAA and .894 SV%.
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: January 10, 2026
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Flyers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have lost four of their last six games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Xfinity Mobile Arena following a home win.
- The underdogs have won the third period in each of the Lightning’s last five games.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last eight games.
- The Flyers have lost five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Lightning have covered the puck line in four of their last five night games.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Flyers have lost the third period in each of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Xfinity Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Flyers’ last six home games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last nine games as home underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine night games.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Zegras has scored a goal in seven of the Flyers’ last eight games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last six games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Sean Couturier has recorded a faceoff win percentage of 71.4% against the Lightning this season – most against any opponent.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Nikita Kucherov has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last four road games.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Nikita Kucherov has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last six appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Flyers rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.00%).
- The Philadelphia Flyers have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (4).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
Lightning vs Flyers Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Lightning won 3-0 at home and both teams are 3-3 in their last 6 meetings. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings.
In this Lightning vs Flyers Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -150 road favorites. The Lightning have been red-hot lately with eight consecutive wins and have more points and overall wins than the Flyers. They have been better on the road, but the Flyers are 5-3 in their last 8 games but their overall numbers are weaker than the Lightning’s both on the offensive and the defensive end. I simply cannot step in front of that red-hot Lightning squad right now, so take Tampa on the moneyline on the road in this one.