In this article we will formulate a Lightning vs Red Wings prediction for this NHL game on Monday, April 13th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 49-25-6 this year after they defeated the Bruins by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 1-0 after two periods, but they scored two goals in the third to steal the victory. The Lightning out shot Boston by a total of 24-21, won 38.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Hagel and Lilleberg, while Vasilevskiy stopped 20 out of 21 shots, which was a .952 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Tampa Bay lost to the Canadiens by a score of 2-1 and the Senators by a score of 6-2. The Lightning have lost three of their last four games and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 104 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.50 goals per game and they have allowed 2.78 goals against per game, while also going 21.1% on the power play and 82.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 43 goals and 85 assists, while Jake Guentzel has added 37 goals and 50 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 38-15-4 with a 2.30 goals against average and a .913 save percentage this year.
Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview
The Detroit Red Wings are 41-30-9 this season after they lost to the Devils by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Detroit led 1-0, 2-1, and 3-2, but they allowed the last three goals for the loss. The Red Wings were out shot by a total of 33-28, won 58.5% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Detroit got goals from Finnie, Perron, and Faulk, while Gibson stopped 28 out of 32 shots, which was an .875 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Detroit defeated the Flyers by a score of 6-3, but lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 4-3 before that. The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 91 points. Detroit has scored 2.94 goals per game and they have allowed 3.03 goals against per game, while also going 23.1% on the power play and 77.4% on the penalty kill this season. Alex DeBrincat has led Detroit with 40 goals and 43 assists, while Lucas Raymond has added 25 goals and 51 assists. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is John Gibson, who is 29-21-4 with a 2.67 goals against average and a .903 save percentage this year.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Red Wings have lost 20 of their last 24 night games at Benchmark International Arena.
- The home team has won five of the Lightning’s last six games.
- The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last six games.
- The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The Red Wings have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Lightning have lost four of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 Monday games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games.
- In each of the Red Wings’ last four away games, the team leading after the second period has won the third period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Red Wings’ last five games against the Lightning following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last five games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Three of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last four games following a home loss.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances.
- Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in five of the Lightning’s last six night games at Benchmark International Arena.
- Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for multi-assist games (25) this season.
Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts
- Alex DeBrincat has scored a goal in three of the Red Wings’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games.
- J.T. Compher has scored two goals against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.78).
- The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.60).
Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have been eliminated from the playoffs, so they have nothing to play for here. The Red Wings are 20-14-5 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 25-13-1 at home. Tampa Bay has lost three of their last four games and they are fighting for seeding in the Atlantic. The Lightning are the better team, but they have scored two goals or fewer in four straight games and I think the Wings will play better without the pressure they have been under in the playoff race. Take Detroit to get a very untimely win here.