Lightning vs Wild Prediction
In this Lightning vs Wild Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -135 road favorites. The Wild have been the better team this season with more total points but they are on the second leg of a home back-to-back. They have been red-hot with a 6-1 record in their last 7 games and have been extremely strong at home, but will face a Lightning squad that is 6-3 in its last 9 games and has a red-hot offense, having scored 4+ goals in eight of its last nine games. I don’t see value on either side, but since the Wild have also been scoring 4+ goals in each of their last three games and both teams are averaging 7.06 goals per game combined this season, I expect a high-scoring affair and will go over the total in this one.
The Lightning are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Wild but are 1-4 in their last 5 visits in Minnesota.
Minnesota Wild Preview
The Wild have 27 points this season with a 12-3-3 record and a 5-0-1 home record. They are 13-5 ATS and 5-13 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-1 home win against the Sharks and will face the Sharks and Devils next.
Offensively, the Wild are averaging 3.33 goals per game with 30.2 shots on goal per game and are scoring 26.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.17 goals per game on 25.2 shots on goal per game and are killing 81.5% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 151 total penalty minutes this season.
Kirill Kaprizov leads the Wild with 30 points, adding a team-high 16 goals with 57 shots on goal, while Quinn Hughes leads the team in assists with 19. Jesper Wallstedt is the starting goalie for the Wild, and he has a 11-2-3 record, with 1.99 GAA and .922 SV%. Calvin Pickard is the backup goalie and he has a 1-1-0 record, with 3.50 GAA and .833 SV%.
Injury Report:
- Michael McCarron — Day-To-Day, est. return Nov 7
- Nick Foligno — IR, est. return Nov 7
- Marcus Foligno — IR, est. return Nov 7
- Filip Gustavsson — IR-LT, est. return Nov 19
- Jared Spurgeon — IR, est. return Nov 10
Tampa Bay Lightning Preview
The Lightning have 22 points this season with a 10-3-2 record and a 2-3-2 road record. They are 8-7 ATS and 8-7 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-1 home win against the Blackhawks and will face the Penguins and Hurricanes next.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.73 goals per game with 30.2 shots on goal per game and are scoring 17.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game on 24.8 shots on goal per game and are killing 77.5% of their opponent’s power plays. They have 117 total penalty minutes this season.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 20 points, adding a team-high 16 assists, while Brandon Hagel leads the team in goals with 8 with 62 shots on goal. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 8-3-1 record, with 2.75 GAA and .887 SV%. Dennis Hildeby is the backup goalie and he has a 2-0-1 record, with 2.98 GAA and .885 SV%.
Injury Report:
- Yanni Gourde — IR-NR, est. return Nov 7
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Minnesota Wild Betting Trends: November 7, 2026
Why the Minnesota Wild will win
- The Wild have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Lightning.
- The Lightning have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
- The Wild have covered the puck line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at Grand Casino Arena following a win.
- The Lightning have lost the second period in six of their last seven night games at Grand Casino Arena following a win.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last four games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Wild have lost five of their last six night games following a home win.
- The road team has covered the puck line in six of the Wild’s last seven games.
- The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six home games following a home win.
- The Wild have lost the third period in each of their last five games as home underdogs following a home win.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Wild’s last nine games as underdogs following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Lightning’s last four road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 games as favorites against the Wild.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts
- Kirill Kaprizov has scored the last goal in each of his last three appearances against the Lightning at Grand Casino Arena.
- Kirill Kaprizov has scored at least one goal in six of the Wild’s last seven home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of the Wild’s last eight games as underdogs.
- Joel Eriksson Ek has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts
- Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last three road games against Central Division opponents.
- Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- John Carlson has scored two goals against the Wild this season – most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Wild have recorded the most wins by a margin of 2+ goals this season (10).
- The Minnesota Wild rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.67).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.840).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.33).