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Maple Leafs vs Ducks Prediction 3/12/26 NHL Picks Today

Anaheim Ducks (36-25-3) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (27-27-11)
March 12, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs -105 / Anaheim Ducks -115; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Anaheim Ducks and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Thursday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Maple Leafs vs. Ducks prediction. This article will include a Maple Leafs vs. Ducks pick.

Anaheim Ducks Betting Preview

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Jets and lost to the Blues, and they play the Senators next. The Ducks have won 8 of their last 10 games.

The Anaheim Ducks are averaging 3.23 goals per game and are scoring 17.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Cutter Gauthier leads Anaheim with 32 goals, Jackson LaCombe has 37 assists and Beckett Sennecke has 149 shots on goal. Defensively, the Anaheim Ducks are allowing 3.47 goals per game and are killing 77.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ville Husso has given up 40 goals on 383 shots faced, while Lukas Dostal has allowed 128 goals on 1,195 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Lightning and Habs, and they play the Sabres next. The Maple Leafs have lost 8 straight games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring 19.1 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 26 goals, William Nylander has 38 assists, and John Tavares has 157 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.48 goals per game and are killing 83 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 84 goals on 972 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 46 goals on 511 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven home games against the Ducks.
  • The Ducks have lost three of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Ducks have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Ducks’ last eight games.
  • In each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight Thursday games at Scotiabank Arena, the team trailing after the second period has won the third period.

Why the Anaheim Ducks will win

  • The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last eight games.
  • The Ducks have won five of their last six games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight home games.
  • The Ducks have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 17 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The favorites have won the first period in each of the Ducks’ last four games at Scotiabank Arena.

Total Goals Facts

  • Nine of the Ducks’ last 10 games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Six of the last seven games between the Ducks and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine home games.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Ducks’ last 13 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Matias Maccelli has scored the first goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
  • John Tavares has scored at least one goal in six of his last seven home appearances against the Ducks.
  • John Tavares has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against the Ducks.
  • William Nylander ranks 2nd amongst qualified Eastern Conference players for shooting percentage (20.6%) this season.

Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Kreider has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Jackson LaCombe has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Ducks’ last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Radko Gudas has scored six career goals against the Maple Leafs—the most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.48).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.03%).
  • The Anaheim Ducks rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.47).
  • The Anaheim Ducks have recorded the equal-most wins when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season (23).

Maple Leafs vs Ducks Prediction

The Ducks aren’t close to the same team on the road as they are at home, but they’re closing in on a playoff berth and games like this look like food. The Maple Leafs are in a free fall and haven’t won a game in over a month. The Maple Leafs haven’t won a game since the Olympic break. The defense is falling off the wagon. It feels like the Maple Leafs have accepted their fate and are ready for the offseason. The fact you can get the Ducks at this price feels too good to be true. I’m still taking it. The Leafs are faded material right now.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Anaheim Ducks -115

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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