The Toronto Maple Leafs and the New York Islanders meet Thursday in NHL action from UBS Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders prediction.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off a 4-0 loss at the hands of the Washington Capitals last time out to sit at 32-32-14 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will head home for a game against the Florida Panthers.
Maple Leafs Lose 3 Straight
William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 73 points on 26 goals and a team-high 47 assists while John Tavares has 68 points with 30 goals and 38 assists and Matthew Knies has 64 points with 23 goals and 41 assists. Auston Matthews has 53 points with 27 goals and 26 assists and Morgan Rielly has 35 points with 25 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 38 points with 30 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 10-10-3 with a 3.28 GAA and an .893 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 15-15-7 with a 3.32 GAA and a .901 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.90 GAA and a .912 save percentage this season.
New York Islanders Recap
The New York Islanders come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the Carolina Hurricanes last time out to sit at 42-31-5 this season. After this game, the Islanders will take on the Ottawa Senators at home.
Islanders Lose 4 Straight
Mathew Barzal has 70 points with 19 goals and a team-high 51 assists while Bo Horvat has 55 points with 30 goals and 25 assists. Matthew Schaefer has 58 points with 22 goals and 36 assists and Anders Lee has 42 points with 19 goals and 23 assists. Emil Heineman has 30 points with 21 goals and 9 assists and Simon Holmstrom has 41 points with 19 goals and 22 assists. Ilya Sorokin is 28-22-2 with a 2.65 GAA and a .909 save percentage while David Rittich is 14-9-3 with a 2.78 GAA and an .894 save percentage in goal for the Islanders so far this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: April 9, 2026
Why the New York Islanders will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 10 games following a home loss.
- The Islanders have won five of their last six home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Islanders have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games against the Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games at UBS Arena.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in each of their last four night games following a loss.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Islanders have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The underdogs have won five of the Islanders’ last six games at UBS Arena.
- The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last six games against the Islanders following a home loss.
- The Islanders have lost the first period in each of their last four games as home favorites following a road loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Islanders’ last eight Thursday games as home favorites have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last seven games as favorites against the Maple Leafs.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
New York Islanders Player Prop Facts
- Ondrej Palat has scored a goal in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Maple Leafs.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in each of the Islanders’ last four games.
- Mathew Barzal has recorded five assists against the Maple Leafs this season – most against any opponent.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- John Tavares has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three road games.
- William Nylander has recorded an assist in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Benoit-Olivier Groulx has recorded a faceoff win percentage of 60.0% against the Islanders this season – most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Islanders rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.67%).
- The New York Islanders rank 5th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.49%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 29th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.53).
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders Prediction
I’m on the Islanders in this one. I get the case to be made for either side here, with the Islanders losing 4 in a row, but the Maple Leafs are on a back-to-back, the goaltending injury situation is in shambles and I just don’t trust the Maple Leafs in this spot. All in all, I think the Islanders are catching the Leafs at the perfect time here so give me New York.